Yearly Archives: 2006

This Weekend’s Games

Before I begin, I think yesterday’s whipping of Clemson by Virginia Tech officially ends any validity of the Transitive Property in application to college football. If you forgot, recall that: 1) GT whipped VT a few weeks ago in Blacksburg, 2) Clemson whipped GT last weekend in Clemson. So, yeah.

Anyway, let’s do this. As always, this reflects my being here in Atlanta, which means these are the games I get on the Georgia Tech Cable Network and that the times are Eastern.

Noon:

  • Oklahoma @ Missouri, ABC: A close game, I think, and a win established Mizzou as the class of the Big 12 North, and perhaps a re-emergence of some evenness in terms of the competitiveness of the Big 12’s divisions.
  • Notre Dame @ Navy, CBS: ND rolls.
  • NC State @ Virginia, local ACC affiliate: Well, NCSU came back and beat BC and FSU and seems to have a quarterback again. I have to like them here, even at UVA. Also, Virginia still doesn’t really have an offense.
  • Northern Illinois @ Iowa, ESPNU: Well, Ehren, Iowa may be overrated, but you have to like them here.
  • Northwestern @ Michigan, ESPN: Well, let’s see, Michigan is good this year, and not only did NU’s coach die in the offseason, they just allowed the biggest comeback in DI-A history. UMich rolls.
  • UIUC @ Wisconsin, ESPN2: The Fightin’ Ron Zooks head up to Madison, WI. Did you know that Wisconsin’s campus has 6 pubs on it, and unlike GT’s so-called “pub”, they actually serve, you know, alcohol. Wisconsin also plays the Budweiser, but they say “When you say Wisconsin, you’ve said it all!” instead of the proper way (like we do). At any rate, they win.

12:30: Auburn @ Ole Miss, local SEC affiliate: FOOTBAW

3:30

  • Miami (FL) @ Georgia Tech, ABC: I have no idea what to make of this game. It’s homecoming for us, and Miami returned a lot of their tickets, so this may be the largest Tech crowd ever. Miami may have an “us against the world” mentality due to their recent “adversity”. We got blown out at Clemson last week, but a GT win here pretty much seals the division for us. There’s a lot riding on this, and in several ways, is probably our most important game of the season.
  • Florida vs. Georgia, CBS: I’ll still call it “The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party”, but honestly, since when do rednecks drink cocktails? Also, UF rolls.
  • Wake Forest @ UNC, ESPNU: Ironically, UNC’s players may now play better since it’s confirmed that their coach is gone after the season. Nonetheless, Wake is a solid team and avoid the loss.
  • USC @ Oregon State, FSN: Who will knock off USC? Probably not the beavers.

7:00

  • Texas @ Texas Tech, TBS: Texas Tech doesn’t really seem to have the “magic” this year, and so Texas will probably be the ones scoring 60 points here if anyone does.
  • Arkansas vs. UL-Monroe, ESPNU: I can’t tell if this is being played at a neutral site or counts as a “home” game for UL-Monroe, but honestly, I don’t care.
  • FSU @ Maryland, ESPN2: Remember when these teams were good at that offense thing? Yeah. FSU should win.

7:45: Tennessee @ South Carolina, ESPN: Fulmer! Spurrier! The UT of the South seems to be good this year, and despite Spurrier blowing out Vandy last week, UT should roll.

That’s all I got kids. Feel free to dispute below.

CFP, Week 9

Well, last week was pretty awesome for the Tito College Football Predictor. The CFP went 44 and 11, an 80% success rate in its first week of the 2006 season. The system even correctly picked the Washington State upset over Oregon. The largest margin of a missed pick was 5.0 (Oklahoma State over Texas A&M), so the higher margin ranges looked really good last weekend.

This weekend, the CFP went out on a limb and made five questionable upset picks. Oklahoma State is up 10 points on Nebraska, who looked pretty good against powerhouse Texas last week. Missouri is actually 4.9 points up on Oklahoma, but that’s with the 5-point home field advantage. Navy is picked to beat Notre Dame (also with the home field advantage) by a ratings margin of 3.2. (This is the one I doubt the most. The last time Navy beat Notre Dame was in 1963. That’s 42 straight losses to the Fighting Irish.) Purdue was picked over Penn State by 2.4 points. Lastly, Oregon State was picked by 0.2 over USC. (You know which one I want to happen most.) What’s the likelihood that all five of these will happen? Almost zero. Still, I’ll be surprised if none of them do.

Michigan, Boston College, Ohio State, and Arkansas all get gimmees this week. They are all favored by 16 points or more over their opponents (Northwestern, Buffalo, Minnesota, and Louisiana-Monroe). We’ll see how my year-to-date record is holding up at the end of Saturday. You can find the rest of this week’s picks at http://tito.asimweb.org/cfp/week9.html.

On Notice!


Northwestern University – You gave up 38 unanswered to the Fightin’ John L Smiths, the largest comeback in I-A history, and stealing my best running gag in the process.
Georgia Institute of Technology – Sigh. Front 7 was completely dominated on defense. Offense couldn’t do anything at all. I’m done with this now.UCLA – You played defense for 59 minutes, and then you let Brady and Samardzjafjajzjia own you for 80 yards in 35 seconds. WTG.
John Bunting – You’ve been told that you will not return next season. Not surprising, since your team sucks.
University of Oregon – I didn’t see this game at all, or know anything about it. But you lost to Wazzu, who’s outside of the Top 25.
The ACC – Grow some balls and give the leg stomping mofo more than a 1 game suspension. Seriously.
Coaches’ Poll – You have USC at #2 still, even though they kinda suck. Whatever. Pretty much mailing it in at this point.
University of Miami – Thug U rolls into the ATL to determine the Coastal Division champion. A GT win gives them a defacto 2 game lead, and with games against NC State, UNC, and Duke remaining, essentially clinches the division. A GT loss essentially means the inverse. Fortunately, Miami isn’t nearly as good as Clemson, so GT should win.

Four Quarters Needed to Win

Remember when you went to arcades as a kid? Some of the games were really cheap, like Whack-a-Mole. Others, like Cruisin’ USA, cost four quarters to play. Likewise, a team needs to put in four quarters of effort to have a chance at winning a college football game. This fact was readily apparent in the following matchups of week 8.

California at Washington: Down 17-24, Washington quarterback Carl Bonnell tossed the football towards the end zone on the last play of regulation. None of three Cal players underneath the ball managed to bat it to the ground. Instead, the ball bounced into the hands of Husky receiver Marlon Wood, who dove into the end zone for a touchdown. In overtime, Bonnell threw into another Cal jersey, and this time Desmond Bishop picked him off. Luckily, the Bears’ poor defense against the Hail Mary didn’t cost them the game.

Texas at Nebraska: Halftime in Omaha found Texas winning 16-7. In the second half, the Longhorn defense gave up two touchdown drives to the Cornhuskers. Up 20-19 with 2:17 left, all Nebraska had to do to win was make a few first downs and kill the clock. It looked like they would do just that until Terrence Nunn fumbled a nine-yard pass. Texas walk-on Ryan Bailey made his first ever college field goal, and the Longhorn D batted down two Hail Mary’s from Zac Taylor to end the game 22-20.

Thanks to Nebraska, these guys stood half-naked in 40-degree weather for nothing. Nice going, Cornhuskers.

Notre Dame at UCLA: Up 17-13 with 0:55 left on the clock, UCLA looked as if it was going to upset Notre Dame right beneath the gaze of Touchdown Jesus. However, the Bruin defense backed off of Brady Quinn for his final drive, allowing the quarterback to move the Fighting Irish from their own 20 to the UCLA 45 with two passes. Then, Quinn hit Jeff Samardzija, who faked out defenders and hightailed it to the end zone. Talk about defensive self-detruction.

Michigan State at Northwestern: The other three games pale in comparison to the second-half nature of this Big Ten matchup. Northwestern went to the locker room leading Michigan State 38-3 at halftime. The Spartans scored 38 unanswered points in 24:36 minutes of gametime to beat the Wildcats 41-38. Michigan State came back from the largest deficit in the history of Division I-A college football.

You need four quarters to play Cruisin’ USA, and you need to play four quarters to win a college football game. ‘Nuff said.

Bowl Predictions, Week 2

I’ll try not to be depressed about yesterday long enough to talk about this. Onward:

  • Still no idea who really has a shot for that at-large spot in the Poinsettia Bowl. Only two of the Pac-10’s 4 win teams will probably finish with 6, which means they can’t fill it. I doubt they’d pick a small conference East Coast team to fill the slot, so I went with San Jose St.
  • Question marks by Indiana and Kentucky because I think they have a shot at finishing with 6 wins, and because I have no idea who will take those spots if they don’t.
  • FSU-Washington in the Emerald Bowl, or, “teams that were really good in the 90’s bowl”
  • The ACC is still pretty much very muddy. You’ll note Boston College is in the Orange Bowl – this is because they have the inside track to the title game (they need to lose again for Clemson to go). Despite the performance yesterday, beating Miami Saturday leaves Georgia Tech in the Coastal driver’s seat. Everything after Clemson on there is pretty much just a guess.
  • The SEC has an extremely good chance at putting two teams in the BCS, provided Auburn and Florida win out. The ACC could also do it if Clemson wins out, but this is unlikely, since the Big East champion still has to go somewhere, the Rose will happily take Michigan and Cal if Ohio State and USC win out, and Notre Dame will be eligible so someone will take them.
  • Speaking of OSU and USC, I’m keeping them there until I’m convinced someone will actually beat them. USC is obviously more vulnerable, but if they take care business and whip Oregon State and Stanford the next two weeks it will be impossible for anyone to knock them off unless they lose.

There may be errors on the page, in fact, I just spotted a new misspelling. Oh well. The link is on the right, and you can comment below and tell me how dumb I am.

Later.