Well, the CFP was destroyed once again by an onslaught of upsets. The falls of Auburn, Texas, and California were all noteworthy, but the worst came at Washington, where Stanford overcame a ratings margin over 16 points for the first time in the history of CFP. Looks like I’m gonna have to narrow my gimmees a little bit. No surprise, Notre Dame did not fall to Air Force, and Florida State didn’t win, either. Oh yeah, and Connecticut beat Pittsburgh on a gutsy two-point conversion in double overtime. Connecticut?

Six gimmees this weekend: Wisconsin/Buffalo, Navy/Temple, Georgia Tech/Duke, Boise State/Utah State, BYU/New Mexico, and LSU/Ole Miss. Close matchups to watch: Pittsburgh is picked over West Virginia by the tip of a nose, Cincinnati is not that far behind 10-0 Rutgers, and Wake Forest has only a slight edge on Virginia Tech, even with the home field bonus. Oh, and Ohio State is up 9.3 points on Michigan. Just thought I’d throw that in there.

You can read the rest of the predictions of Tito’s system at http://tito.asimweb.org/cfp/week12.html. Here’s hoping the last four weeks of the season are kind to the CFP’s record.

Just gonna hit the highlights this week:
Auburn, Texas, and Cal – You all lost, ending any chance of playing for the title.
FSU – Losing by 30 at home to anyone is embarassing.
Offense in the SEC – When the Fightin’ McFaddens of Arkansas are the closest thing you have to a high-powered offense, there’s something wrong.
Maryland – All of your wins have come by 6 or less – at some point (against either BC or Wake), your luck will run out.
Notre Dame – Going for the Commander-in-Chief trophy this weekend against Army. Notre Dame, why do you hate America?
Duke – You suck so bad, you probably can’t beat hurt Reggie either.

I somehow lost count of the weeks. This is week 5.

Thanks to Texas, Auburn, and Cal, these are especially confused rankings.

I see a OSU-USC title game at this point, which is hilariously what I had the first two weeks I did this. Why Rutgers in the Rose? Well, with Cal’s loss, the only way they make the Rose now is by beating USC, so I had to use another team. I figured that an undefeated Rutgers might be attractive enough for the Rose. I would’ve put Florida there, but this year the bowls have actual tie-ins again and therefore Florida is tied to the Sugar unless they make it to the BCS title game. Notre Dame was also attractive, but they’ve already played Michigan this year.

I still don’t want to predict GT into the Orange Bowl, and could see them falling as far as the Gator. Also, check out Miami and FSU, the darlings of the ACC. (Whoops!) Despite what everyone thinks, Wake has the inside track to win their division.

Not much else to say. The picture will be clearer after this weekend, at least a little.

Last weekend, Louisville was poised to win the rest of its games and finish third in the BCS standings. The debate raged over whether an undefeated Big East team should be ranked above a one-loss team from one of the other six major conferences (the answer, in my opinion, is no; see my last article for an explanation). When Rutgers beat the Cardinals Thursday night, a crowd of one-loss’ers and the undefeated Scarlet Knights all looked like they had a chance at reaching the title game. How would the BCS successfully rank this many good teams? The system everyone loves to hate looked like it was going to reach a new low of confusion.

Then, the unthinkable happened: three of the teams in the top ten of the BCS standings lost to unranked opponents.

First, Auburn was dominated at home by Georgia, whose 37-15 romp of the Tigers was a perfect storm of sorts. Stafford displayed confidence at quarterback, while Cox completed as many passes to Bulldogs as he did to Tigers (four to each group, out of twelve attempts). Auburn’s defense, which my friend Kyle compared to a block of Swiss cheese, was finally exposed as hideous. Punter Kody Bliss had a serious off-day. Wide receiver Courtney Taylor led the Tigers in rushing with 51 yards. “It isn’t good when your wide receiver is your leading rusher,” said tailback Brad Lester. Agreed.

Later in the day, California fell at Arizona, 20-24. The Bears outproduced the Wildcats 356-262, but three California turnovers and two fourth-down conversions by Arizona made the upset possible. I never thought California was all that amazing, but to see them fall like this is a bit surprising. Perhaps there is more parity in the Pac-10 than SEC fans like myself give it credit for. (What am I thinking? Of course not.) At Kansas State, another Wildcats team upset Texas. On the Longhorns’ first drive, star freshman quarterback Colt McCoy was injured underneath a pile of players. Unfortunately for Texas, the Longhorns’ defense couldn’t slow down the Wildcats enough for the offense to outscore them.

Georgia Tech scraped by UNC to clinch the Atlantic Division title. Auburn lost. Virginia Tech and Florida are struggling.

Only Michigan and Ohio State are rolling right now. Can we just go ahead and let them play a best 2 of 3 for the national title? Man.