Category Archives: bowl games

Bowl Games 2023: Get Out the Nog

I got off to a pretty good start in bowl season, but things very much hit the skids last Saturday. You can see how I’m doing here. With that, let’s dive right into the next batch.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Tuesday, December 26

2:00: Minnesota vs. Bowling Green (Quick Lane Bowl @ Detroit, MI; ESPN): This one is tough for me to predict. I don’t think either of these teams is good exactly, though it’s at least somewhat gratifying that the MAC team we lost to this year is in a bowl game. Somehow I don’t think they’re going to be able to pull the “beating a P5 twice” trick.
SP+ line: Gophers -4.7
Vegas line: Gophers -3.5
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: In 1986, the Gophers won 31-7. Their most recent meeting went the other way, with the Falcons pipping the Gophers 14-10. Overall, the series is even at 2-2.
Last bowl game: This will be the Gopher’s third bowl in a row. In 2021, they beat WVU 18-6 into the Guaranteed Rate Bowl, and last season they beat Syracuse 28-20 in the Pinstripe Bowl. Last season, Bowling Green lost 24-19 to New Mexico State in this very game.
Announcers: Connor Onion, Dustin Fox, and Tori Petry

5:30: Texas State vs. Rice (First Responder Bowl @ Dallas, TX; ESPN): First off, shout out to the Bobcats for making the first bowl game in school history. Not only that, they’ve got a matchup they can be pretty competitive in, to the point where I think they’ll also get the first bowl win in school history.
SP+ line: TSU -4.2
Vegas line: TSU -4
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: This is the first FBS meeting between these two teams, though the overall series is 2-2.
Last bowl game: This is the first ever FBS bowl game for the Bobcats. The Owls lost 38-24 to Southern Miss in the Lending Tree Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Neal, Aaron Murray, and Morgan Uber

9:00: Nevada-Las Vegas vs. Kansas (Guaranteed Rate Bowl @ Phoenix, AZ; ESPN): This game could go a couple of ways. Kansas could just come out and whip a demoralized UNLV squad that lost to the most mid Boise State team in years in their last game. Or UNLV will remember that they got here by running a fun offense, and this thing is just a wide open shootout that keeps those of us on the East Coast up too late. While I have the former scenario as my official prediction, I’m secretly hoping for the latter.
SP+ line: KU -7.3
Vegas line: KU -12.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Just two. UNLV won the first in 2002 31-20, and Kansas won 46-24 in 2003.
Last bowl game: This is the first bowl game for UNLV since a 36-14 loss to North Texas in the 2013-14 Heart of Dallas Bowl. The Jayhawks lost last season’s absolute banger of a Liberty Bowl 55-53 to Arkansas.
Announcers: Beth Mowins, Kirk Morrison, and Stormy Buonantony

Wednesday, December 27

2:00: Virginia Tech vs. Tulane (Military Bowl @ Annapolis, MD; ESPN): It was a year that exceeded all expectations in Blacksburg, with the Hokies getting back to a bowl. The Green Wave had a chance to repeat last season’s rousing success, but it turns out they just weren’t as good as the team that won the Sugar Bowl last season. Regardless, I think they will be able to hang with the Hokies, and more than that, win. This could be a fun one.
SP+ line: VPI -0.6
Vegas line: VPI -7.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Nine overall, but it’s been a while. The first was a 21-14 Tulane victory in 1956, and the last was a 30-13 Hokies win in 1989. The Hokies hold a 5-4 lead in the series.
Last bowl game: The Green Wave beat USC in last season’s Cotton Bowl 46-45. Virginia Tech’s last postseason appearance was the 2021 Pinstripe Bowl, where they lost 54-10 to Maryland.
Announcers: Jay Alter, Rene Ingoglia, and Alex Chappell

5:30: North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Mayo Bowl @ Charlotte, NC; ESPN): The mayonnaise dunk after the game generally draws a decidedly mixed reaction, though at least no one will probably get as done bad as Shane Beamer a few years ago (when the cooler containing the mayo bonked him on the head). Either way, you’ve got a UNC team that once again failed to meet expectations versus a WVU team that absolutely smashed them. And that’s definitely reflected in the lines below, with the computer still favoring UNC and the folks in the desert favoring the ‘Neers. Well, as for myself, I think Carolina still just has too much talent.
SP+ line: Heels -4.8
Vegas line: Neers -5.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Only twice, and both in bowl games. Carolina won 20-13 in the 1996-97 Gator Bowl, and the ‘Neers got their revenge with a 31-30 win in the 2008 Car Care Bowl.
Last bowl game: This is UNC’s fifth straight bowl game, dating to a 55-13 win over Temple in the 2019 Military Bowl. Last season they lost 28-27 to Oregon in the Holiday Bowl. WVU last made a bowl in 2021, where they lost 18-6 to Minnesota in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl.
Announcers: Matt Barrie, Dan Mullen, and Harry Lyles Jr.

8:00: Louisville vs. Southern California (Holiday Bowl @ San Diego, CA; FOX): Picking bowl games is sometimes an an entirely vibes-based enterprise, as the kids might say. And no game personifies that more than this one. I cannot imagine USC having any motivation in this one. And their defense has been awful enough all season to allow even the Cardinals reduced offense to move the ball. This could get bad.
SP+ line: Cards -2.9
Vegas line: Cards -7.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: This is the Cardinals’s third straight bowl appearance, dating to the 2021 First Responder Bowl, where they lost 31-28 to Air Force. Last season they beat Cincinnati 24-7 in the Fenway Bowl. USC lost last seasons Cotton Bowl to Tulane, 46-45.
Announcers: Gus Johnson, Joel Klatt, and Jenny Taft

9:00: Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M (Texas Bowl @ Houston, TX; ESPN): I had no idea how to read this one: in the games the Aggies did play after firing Jimbo the offense did seem to work better, and the Pokes being frauds more-or-less got exposed in their last three games. That said, I didn’t really trust SP+ on this one and only picked TAMU by three. Hopefully, this confusion will result in an interesting game.
SP+ line: Aggies -9.5
Vegas line: Aggies -3
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: 28 overall, bolstered by their mutual time in the Big 12. The first though was a 3-0 Cowboys win in 1913. The last was a 24-21 Aggies win in the 2019 Texas Bowl. In between, the Aggies have compiled a 18-10 record.
Last bowl game: The Pokes have one of the longest bowl streaks in the country, with 18 straight bowl season appearances. The streak started with the 2006 Independence Bowl, where Oklahoma State won 34-31 over Alabama. Last season they lost 24-17 to Wisconsin in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. TAMU was supposed to play in the Gator Bowl in 2021, but they didn’t, so their last postseason appearance a 41-27 win over UNC in the 2020-21 Orange Bowl.
Announcers: Roy Philpott, Roddy Jones, and Taylor McGregor

Thursday, December 28

11:00: Boston College vs. Southern Methodist (Fenway Bowl @ Boston, MA; ESPN): SMU figures to pick up their first ACC conference win a little early in this one.
SP+ line: Ponies -15.4
Vegas line: Pones -10.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Just one: a 31-29 SMU win in 1986.
Last bowl game: BC hasn’t made a bowl since a 38-6 loss to Cincinnati in the 2019-20 Birmingham Bowl. SMU made a bowl game in 2019, losing to FAU 52-28 in the Boca Raton Bowl. They opted out in 2020 and their 2021 appearance in the Fenway Bowl was canceled, so they were last seen in December losing 24-23 to BYU in last season’s New Mexico Bowl.
Announcers: Chris Cotter, Mark Herzlich, and Sherree Burruss

2:15: Miami vs. Rutgers (Pinstripe Bowl @ New York, NY; ESPN): If having another game in the northeast makes you hope for a good game, well, it might be raining during the Fenway Bowl, but it seems like it might just be cold for this one. Alas. Either way, Miami should win this one, but that’s never stopped them before.
SP+ line: Canes -9.4
Vegas line: Canes -1.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This is a Big East-tastic matchup. As one might guess, the Canes have a pretty good record in this series, and in fact, it’s a perfect 11-0. The first was a 31-17 Miami win in 1993, and the last was a 34-10 Canes win in 2003.
Last bowl game: For the Canes, their last bowl game was a 37-34 loss to Oklahoma State in the 2020 Cheez-It Bowl. For The State University of New Jersey, their last bowl game was 38-10 loss to Wake Forest in the 2021 Gator Bowl.
Announcers: Drew Carter, Rod Gilmore, and Taylor Davis

5:45: North Carolina State vs. Kansas State (Pop Tarts Bowl @ Orlando, FL; ESPN): This has the potential to just be one of the most solid games of bowl season. There’s no narratives here. Just two teams that had good seasons and they’re going to go play a football game in Florida (that will feature a supposedly edible mascot, to boot). Ultimately I think K-State’s brand of smash mouth football will see them through, but this could be fun along the way.
SP+ line: K-State -6
Vegas line: K-State -3
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: This should be NCSU’s fourth bowl in a row, but their 2021 Holiday Bowl was canceled. Thus, their current streak is two. They lost last season’s Mayo Bowl to Maryland, 16-12. This is K-State’s third bowl game in a row, dating to a 42-20 win over LSU in the 2021-22 Texas Bowl. Last season they lost 45-20 to Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.
Announcers: Anish Shroff, Andre Ware, and Paul Carcaterra

9:15: Oklahoma vs. Arizona (Alamo Bowl @ San Antonio, TX; ESPN): I like the Sooners here, but that’s not say this isn’t going to be interesting. There’s a ton of ways this could go. Hopefully, the possibilities remain in the middle of keeping it interesting. I have the Sooners as a slight favorite, but as stated I won’t be surprised by anything that happens in the Alamodome.
SP+ line: Sooners -4.3
Vegas line: Wildcats -3
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: Just two: a regular season home-and-home in 1988 and 1989. The Sooners won the first one 28-10, but lost the second 6-3.
Last bowl game: The Sooners are owners of the second longest active bowl streak, at 25 in a row. The streak started with a 27-25 loss to Ole Miss in the 1999 Independence Bowl. Last season, they lost 35-32 to Florida State in the Cheez-It Bowl. For Zona, this is their first bowl game since a 38-35 loss to Purdue in the 2017 Foster Farms Bowl.
Announcers: Tom Hart, Jordan Rodgers, and Cole Cubelic

Friday, December 29

12:00: Clemson vs. Kentucky (Gator Bowl @ Jacksonville, FL; ESPN): Let’s roll right into Friday, mostly because that gives me more time to write up the New Year’s Six bowl games. At any rate, this was a weird year for both teams. Clemson though comes in as the team that got better as the year went on, while Kentucky slid… and then beat Louisville out of nowhere on Rivalry Saturday. I slightly like the Tigers here.
SP+ line: Tigers -1.7
Vegas line: Tigers -4.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Thirteen previous meetings, with the last three in bowl games. The first, however, was a 19-6 Kentucky win in 1925. The most recent was a 21-13 Clemson win in the 2009 Music City Bowl. The Wildcats have an 8-5 overall lead in the series.
Last bowl game: This will be Clemson’s 19th bowl game in a row, dating to the 2005 Champs Sports Bowl, a 19-10 win over Colorado. As I’ve probably noted often, they could have a 25 game streak dating to the 1999 Peach Bowl, but they didn’t make a game after going 6-5 in 2004. Last season, they lost 31-14 to Tennessee in the Orange Bowl. Kentucky has an eight game streak dating to their 33-18 loss to Georgia Tech in the 2016 TaxSlayer Bowl. Lats season they were blanked 21-0 by Iowa in the Music City Bowl.
Announcers: Wes Durham, Tim Hasselbeck, and Taylor Tannebaum

2:00: Notre Dame vs. Oregon State (Sun Bowl @ El Paso, TX; CBS): Y’all this could be fun. For starters, the Sun Bowl is just such a weird and unique game anyway. Next, “fun” isn’t often a word associated with one of the most staid brands in the sport, but this Notre Dame team can move the ball and will probably let the Beavers hang around. Which is also good, because Oregon State has been fun to watch all season and while the future is full of uncertainty, this should be a rewarding game for them to cap off a good season.
SP+ line: Domers -4.4
Vegas line: Domers -6.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: Two, and just in bowl games. The Beavers won 41-9 in the 2000-01 Fiesta Bowl, and also won the follow-on game 38-21 in the 2004 Insight Bowl.
Last bowl game: This is the seventh bowl game in a row for Notre Dame, dating to a 21-17 win over LSU in the 2017-18 Citrus Bowl. Last season they beat South Carolina 45-38 in the Gator Bowl. For the Beavers, this is their third in a row, with a 24-13 loss to Utah State in the 2021 LA Bowl and a 30-3 win over Florida in last season’s Las Vegas Bowl.
Announcers: Brad Nessler, Gary Danielson, and Jenny Dell

3:30: Iowa State vs. Memphis (Liberty Bowl @ Memphis, TN; ESPN): If not for West Virginia, Iowa State would be the team we’d be talking about as saving a coach’s job this season. Memphis is a pretty good team and this will effectively be a home game for them, but I just like Iowa State here.
SP+ line: Clones -5.8
Vegas line: Clones -8.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This game might seem kind of familiar, as the Cyclones beat the Tigers 21-10 in the 2017… Liberty Bowl.
Last bowl game: The ‘Clones last made a bowl in 2021, where they lost 20-13 to Clemson in the Cheez-It Bowl. For Memphis, this is their tenth straight bowl bid, dating to a 55-48 win over BYU in the greatest Miami Beach Bowl ever in 2014. However, I should note their appearance in the 2021 Hawaii Bowl was canceled. Last season they beat Utah State 38-10 in the First Responder Bowl.
Announcers: John Schriffen, Rocky Boiman, and Dawn Davenport

8:00: Missouri vs. Ohio State (Cotton Bowl @ Arlington, TX; ESPN): And finally, a New Year’s Six game. Which sort of means we’re almost done with bowl season y’all. With no bowl games on Sundays, there’s only really two more days after this. At any rate, one of the biggest storylines of the postseason so far has to be that the guy who started every game for Ohio State at quarterback this season, Kyle McCord, is transferring to Syracuse. What isn’t obvious to, well, anyone is who exactly do the Buckeyes have lined up behind him that pushed him out? While transfers will probably be here to stay, I don’t expect many “twelve game starter for the Ohio State freakin’ Buckeys” transfers to be part of the new normal. Either way, the game. Despite the many opt-outs for the Buckeyes, they just simply have depth that all but the top 3-5 teams in the sport lack. They demonstrated that in a similar situation against Utah in the Rose Bowl a few years ago, where a freshman Marvin Harrison, Jr. had his coming out party. It figures history will repeat itself in Jerryworld.
SP+ line: Buckeyes -8.9
Vegas line: Tigers -2.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Twelve! And as one might expect, it hasn’t been so good for the Tigers. The Buckeyes won the first matchup 19-0 in 1939 and kept it rolling through the 40’s, though Mizzou did get a 13-13 tie in 1946. Mizzoui’s only win was a 22-21 win in Columbus in 1976. Their most recent game was a 35-14 Ohio State win 1998, giving the Buckeyes and overall 10-1-1 record.
Last bowl game: This is Mizzou’s third bowl in a row. In 2021 they lost 24-22 to Army in the Armed Forces Bowl, and last season they lost 27-17 to Wake Forest in the Gasparilla Bowl. For the Buckeyes, this is their eleventh bowl game in a row, dating to a 40-35 loss to Clemson in the 2013-14 Orange Bowl. Last season, they went wide right and lost 42-41 to Georgia in the Peach Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Pasch, Dusty Dvoracek, and Tom Luginbill

Bowl Games 2023: Simply Having A Wonderful Christmastime

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Monday, December 18

2:30: Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion (Bahamas Bowl @ Charlotte, NC; ESPN): So this bowl actually has a different name, since it’s not taking place in the Bahamas. That said, it’s much funnier this way, so I’m sticking with it. This could be an interesting game, but that said I’m hoping my flight has satellite TV so I can watch it. I like the Hilltoppers here.
SP+ line: WKU -8.7
Vegas line: ODU -2.5
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: These teams have met seven times as members of Conference USA. The first was during the second year of the Monarchs’ FBS transition in 2014, where the Hilltoppers won 66-51. The last was in 2021, a 43-20 WKU win. WKU leads the overall series 6-1.
Last bowl game: For the Hilltoppers, this is their fifth straight bowl game, dating to the 2019 First Responder Bowl, where they beat Western Michigan 23-20. Last season they beat South Alabama 44-23 in the New Orleans Bowl. For the Monarchs, this is their third ever bowl game. Their last postseason appearance was a 30-17 loss to Tulsa in the 2021 Myrtle Beach Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Neal, Tom Luginbill, and Abby Labar

Tuesday, December 19

9:00: Texas-San Antonio vs. Marshall (Frisco Bowl @ Frisco, TX; ESPN): This figures to more or less be a rout for the Road Runners, but it still may be worth keeping an eye on.
SP+ line: UTSA -12.4
Vegas line: UTSA -10
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: The Herd won the first meeting in 2013 34-10, and the last 23-0 in 2018. The Roadrunners got one in between, a 9-7 win in 2017.
Last bowl game: With this game, the Road Runners will have four consecutive postseason appearances, dating to the 2020 First Responder Bowl, where they lost 34-31 to Louisiana. Last season they lost 18-12 to Troy in the Cure Bowl. The Herd are pretty proficient at making bowl games. This will be their seventh appearance in a row, dating to the 2017 New Mexico Bowl, where they beat Colorado State 31-28.
Announcers: Jorge Sedano, Rocky Boiman, and Dawn Davenport

Thursday, December 21

8:00: Syracuse vs. South Florida (Boca Raton Bowl @ Boca Raton, FL; ESPN): Again, this figures to be a scenario where the ‘Cuse can cruise, but also they did fire their coach and this USF side is feisty. I like the Orange, but again, this may be worth keeping an eye on.
SP+ line: Cuse -8.5
Vegas line: Cuse -3
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: These teams have met ten times, and you likely wouldn’t guess the overall record. The first meeting was in 2005, a 27-0 USF win, and the most recent was in 2016, a 45-20 USF win. Suffice it to say, the Bulls are 8-2 overall.
Last bowl game: The Orange appeared in last season’s Pinstripe Bowl, losing 28-20 to Minnesota. For the Bulls, it’s been a minute. They were least seen in the postseason losing 38-20 to Marshall in the 2018 Gasparilla Bowl.
Announcers: Matt Barrie, Dan Mullen, and Harry Lyles Jr.

Friday, December 22

6:30: Georgia Tech vs. Central Florida (Gasparilla Bowl @ Tampa, FL; ESPN): It doesn’t seem like I’ll be able to make it to Tampa for this one. That said, I think this will be an interesting game for neutrals. Overall, I’m just thrilled to be playing again in December, and while the bowl page shows a pick for this game, it’s been a while since I had to point out that mostly I don’t pick Tech games.
SP+ line: UCF -5.8
Vegas line: UCF -4.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: The Jackets have a 3-2 overall lead on the Knights. They won the first meeting in 1996 27-20, but lost last season 27-10.
Last bowl game: We haven’t appeared in a bowl game since Paul Johnson’s last season (which says a lot about why the last guy got canned), where we lost 34-10 to Minnesota in the Quick Lane Bowl. This will be UCF’s eighth straight bowl game, dating to the 2016 Cure Bowl, a 31-13 loss to Arkansas State. Last season they lost 30-13 to Duke in the Military Bowl.
Announcers: Wes Durham, Tim Hasselbeck, and Taylor Tannebaum

Saturday, December 23

Noon:

  • Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State (Camellia Bowl @ Montgomery, AL; ESPN): I honestly can’t think of anything to say about this game other than hoping that NIU’s mascot will get some time on the screen.
    SP+ line: NIU -0.8
    Vegas line: ArkySt -1
    Watchability tier: I
    Previous meetings: The first was a 35-0 NIU victory in 1990, the most recent was a 38-20 NIU win in the 2011-12 godaddy.com Bowl. The Huskies lead the overall series 7-1.
    Last bowl game: NIU’s last bowl game was the 2021 Cure Bowl, a 47-41 loss to Coastal Carolina. Arkansas State is also ending a drought, as they last tasted the postseason in the 2019 Camellia Bowl, a 34-26 win over FIU.
    Announcers: Courtney Lyle, Hutson Mason, and Ashley Stroehlein
  • Duke vs. Troy (Birmingham Bowl @ Birmingham, AL; ABC): It definitely seems like Mike Elko got out at the right time, because while achieving any consistent football success at Duke is worthy of praise, they definitely seem to be on the decline. I think a loss to Troy will cemete that.
    SP+ line: Troy -0.9
    Vegas line: Troy -7.5
    Watchability tier: II
    Previous meetings: Just two, a home-and-home from 2013 and 2014. Duke won both times, 38-31 and 34-17, respectively.
    Last bowl game: Duke beat UCF in last season’s Military Bowl, 30-13. Troy beat UTSA 18-12 in last season’s Cure Bowl.
    Announcers: Tom Hart, Cole Cubelic, and Taylor Davis

3:30:

  • Air Force vs. James Madison (Armed Forces Bowl @ Fort Worth, TX; ABC): It’s still baffling what happened to Air Force, and this could well be a game where JMU goes up big early and just cruises the rest of the way.
    SP+ line: Dukes -8.1
    Vegas line: Dukes -3
    Watchability tier: II
    Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
    Last bowl game: The Falcons have a three game streak going, dating to the 2021 First Responder Bowl, a 31-28 win over Louisville. They beat Baylor 30-15 in last season’s edition of this game. And for JMU, this is their first ever bowl game.
    Announcers: Anish Shroff, Andre Ware, and Paul Carcaterra
  • Utah State vs. Georgia State (Potato Bowl @ Boise, ID; ESPN): On the blue turf, we’ve got a couple of teams meeting for the first time. That said, the Aggies seem to be a better team on paper and by the eye test, and I like them here.
    SP+ line: Aggies -0.8
    Vegas line: Aggies -1
    Watchability tier: I
    Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
    Last bowl game: The Aggies have made three straight bowl games, dating to the 2021 LA Bowl, a 24-13 win over Oregon State. Last season they lost 38-10 to Memphis in the First Responder Bowl. For the Panters, they missed a bowl last year, so their last appearance was a 51-20 romp over Ball State in the 2021 Camellia Bowl.
    Announcers: Chris Cotter, Mark Herzlich, and Morgan Uber

7:00: Eastern Michigan vs. South Alabama (68 Ventures Bowl @ Mobile, AL; ESPN): It’s hard to have much analysis of this game other than “it’s amazing that EMU is here, and that USA will probably pave them over”.
SP+ line: USA -12.6
Vegas line: USA -16
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: EMU has now made three straight bowl games, which considering EMU’s history is amazing and tends to make one wonder why Chris Creighton hasn’t gotten the call to a better job yet. At any rate, the 2021 game was a 56-20 loss to Liberty in the Lendingtree Bowl, and last season they beat San Jose State 41-27 in the Potato Bowl. South Al meanwhile lost 44-23 to Western Kentucky in last year’s New Orleans Bowl.
Announcers: Taylor Zarzour, Matt Stinchcomb, Alyssa Lang

7:30: Utah vs. Northwestern (Las Vegas Bowl @ Paradise, NV; ABC): The Utes draw a Big Ten team once again, and once again they’re favored even despite any evidence they can actually score points. Tune into this one if you like defensive football, because while I think the Utes will win, them scoring a bunch seems unlikely.
SP+ line: Utah -9.8
Vegas line: Utah -7
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Three very spread out meetings. The first was a 13-6 Northwestern win in 1927. 54 years later, Utah won 42-0. Finally, they met in the 2018 Holiday Bowl, where the Cats won 31-20.
Last bowl game: The Utes should probably have 9 bowl games in a row, but they didn’t go bowling in 2020 for hopefully obvious reasons. That said, I still think it’s fair to count their streak going back to the 2014 Royal Purple Bowl, where they beat Colorado State 45-10. Last season they lost 35-21 to Penn State in the Rose Bowl. Unlike the Utes, Northwestern’s last bowl appearance was in the 2020-21 season, where they beat Auburn 35-19 in the Citrus Bowl.
Announcers: Sean McDonough, Greg McElroy, and Stormy Buonantony

10:30: San Jose State vs. Coastal Carolina (Hawaii Bowl @ Honolulu, HI; ESPN): Unfortunately, this isn’t a Christmas Eve Hawaii Bowl because the 24th is a Sunday. That said, take some time to appreciate your family (though I understand if you can’t) and maybe also that the weather in Hawaii is almost certainly better than where-ever you’re reading this from. Happy Holidays y’all. Also, I like the Silicon Valley Spartans here.
SP+ line: SJSU -1
Vegas line: SJSU -10
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: The Spartans lost last year’s Potato Bowl 41-27. This will be the fourth straight bowl game for the Beach Chickens, dating to the 2020 Cure Bowl where they lost 37-34 to Liberty. Last season they lsot the Birmingham Bowl 53-29 to East Carolina.
Announcers: John Schriffen, Orlando Franklin, and Marilyn Payne

Bowl Games 2023: Opening Slate

It’s that time again, and unlike last season we’ve got a full day of football tomorrow.

A few notes:

  • The bowl tracker page will be updated soon.
  • The Watchability Tiers are defined here.
  • I forgot what the third thing was, maybe I’ll remember before I finish this post.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Saturday, December 16

11:00: Ohio vs. Georgia Southern (Myrtle Beach Bowl @ Conway, SC; ESPN): The shine is completely off the Clay Helton thing, and I’m not sure this game will be able to do a lot to put it back on.
SP+ line: Ohio -2.2
Vegas line: GaSo -3.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: The Bobcats won last season’s Arizona Bowl over Wyoming, 30-27. Georgia Southern lost last year’s Camellia Bowl 23-21 to Buffalo.
Announcers: Drew Carter, Dustin Fox, and Stormy Buonantony

2:15: Louisiana vs. Jacksonville State (New Orleans Bowl @ New Orleans, LA; ESPN): This game could well be pretty fun. The Cajuns tend to fill the Superdome when they go to New Orleans (hence why they’re here). And remember Rich Rodriguez? Yep, he’s Jax State’s head coach. Expect some points in this one, and just for fun I’ll go with the Gamecocks.
SP+ line: Cajuns -1
Vegas line: JSU -3.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This is the first FBS-level meeting between these teams, though amusingly the Ragin’ Cajuns did lose to a DI-AA Jacksonville State 28-14 in 2000.
Last bowl game: For the Cajuns, this is their sixth consecutive bowl game, going back to the 2018 Cure Bowl, where they lost 41-24 to Tulane. Last season they lost 23-16 to Houston in the Independence Bowl. For Jax State, this is their first ever bowl game.
Announcers: Anish Shroff, Andre Ware, and Taylor Davis

3:30: Appalachian State vs. Miami (Cure Bowl @ Orlando, FL; ABC):

Well it’s opening time down on fascination street
So let’s cut the conversation and get out for a bit
Because I feel it all fading and paling and I’m begging
To drag you down with me to kick the last nail in

Yeah I like you in that like I like you to scream
But if you open your mouth then I can’t be responsible
For quite what goes in or to care what comes out
So just pull on your hair just pull on your pout

And let’s move to the beat like we know that’s it’s over
If you slip going under slip over my shoulder
So just pull on your face just pull on your feet
And let’s hit opening time down on fascination street

So pull on your hair pull on your pout
Cut the conversation just open your mouth
Pull on your face pull on your feet
And let’s hit opening time down on fascination street

I like App here.
SP+ line: Miami -0.7
Vegas line: App -5.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: App last appeared in a bowl game back in the 2021 Boca Raton Bowl, where they lost 59-38 to Western Kentucky. (They did go 6-6 last season but didn’t bowl.) Miami only played three games in 2020 for hopefully obvious reasons, but they did go to the 2019-20 Mobile Alabama Bowl where they lost 27-17 to Louisiana. They lost last year’s Bahamas Bowl to UAB, 24-20.
Announcers: Bob Wischusen, Robert Griffin III, and Kris Budden

5:45: New Mexico State vs. Fresno State (New Mexico Bowl @ Albuquerque, NM; ESPN): I still don’t entirely know what happened to Fresno this year, but it’s sort of moot now because like most folks who are way too online I am all about the Aggies. As noted below, NMSU isn’t exactly a… consistently successful program, let’s put it that way. But a 10-win season out of nowhere, a second win a row over Hugh Freeze (this time AT Auburn!) and of course this season’s Bradlee Van Pelt winner in quarterback/runaway beer truck Diego Pavia make them very easy to root for.
SP+ line: Aggies -0.6
Vegas line: Aggies -3.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: With occasional times in the same conference, these teams have met 19 times. Their first meeting was a 49-17 Fresno win in 1972, and the msot recent was a 30-17 Fresno win in 2019. In fact, the only win for NMSU in the entire series was a 48-45 win in 2011, giving the Bulldogs an overall 18-1 advantage.
Last bowl game: The Aggies have only gone to 5 bowl games ever, and for the first time since 1959 and 1960 they’re going bowling in consecutive seasons. They beat Bowling Green in last season’s Quick Lane Bowl 24-19. This will be the third straight bowl game for the Bulldogs, dating to a 31-24 over UTEP in the 2021 New Mexico Bowl, and last season they pipped Wazzu in the LA Bowl, 29-6.
Announcers: Clay Matvick, Rod Gilmore, and Lauren Sisler

7:30: California-Los Angeles vs. Boise State (LA Bowl @ Inglewood, CA; ABC): The main thing I know about this one is all the Gronk commercials that will be shown during it will be exhausting. Outside of that, yeah probably UCLA but y’all the vibes are BAD. More specifically, while UCLA did beat USC they didn’t really even bother to show up after that against Cal, widely leading most to assume that it was probably time to move on from Chip Kelly. And then… nothing happened. Boise, meanwhile, fired their coach and then went out and won the Mountain West. So in the “who wants it more” department, which matters a lot in bowl games, it’s Broncos all the way here.
SP+ line: UCLA -0.5
Vegas line: UCLA -3.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Just one: a 38-7 UCLA win in 1999.
Last bowl game: UCLA lost last season’s Sun Bowl 37-35 to Pitt. The Broncos, meanwhile, should by all rights have a bowl streak dating to 1998, which is amazing considering they’ve only been playing DI-A/FBS football since 1996. They didn’t go bowling in 1998 despite being 6-5, but the next year they won the then-Humanitarian Bowl 34-31 over Louisville. At 8-4 in 2001 they were left out again, but reeled off a streak that lasted until 2018. That game did kickoff, but with about 5 minutes left in the first quarter a thunderstorm moved in and didn’t move much afterward, and the game was called after a two hour delay. In 2020 Boise went 5-2, but, well, you know. And in 2021 they were set to play in the Arizona Bowl, but a COVID outbreak on the team led to the game getting scrapped. So because of all of that, Boise’s bowl streak is now at… two. They beat North Texas 35-32 in last season’s Frisco Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Flemming, Brock Osweiler, and Kayla Burton

9:15: Texas Tech vs. California (Independence Bowl @ Shreveport, LA; ESPN): “Shreveport After Dark” sounds like something from a campy slasher film, but that’s we’ve got here: two teams no one has any idea what to do with. This game will be somewhere between “unwatchable” and “team driving with less than a minute left down 62-60”. Well, maybe not so much the latter (I’m not sure Cal can score 60 even if there’s not a defense on the field) but that’s the gist of how I feel about this one. I’ll probably go with the Red Raiders but this one is a total coin flip.
SP+ line: TTU -2.6
Vegas line: TTU -2.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Just one: a 45-31 Texas Tech win in the 2004 Holiday Bowl.
Last bowl game: This is the third straight bowl game for the Red Raiders, who beat Miss State 34-7 in the 2021 Liberty Bowl and Ole Miss 45-24 last season in the Texas Bowl. Unfortunately for them, this year their opponent is Cal. Speaking of the Bears, this is their first bowl game since the now-defunct semi-hometown Redbox Bowl, where they beat Illinois 35-20.
Announcers: Kevin Connors, Rocky Boiman, and Marilyn Payne

Bowl Games 2022: Final

The tracking page is up-to-date for all of the other 41 bowl games. All that’s left is the final.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Monday, January 9

7:30: Texas Christian vs. Georgia (College Football Playoff Championship Game @ Inglewood, CA; ESPN): I have a bad feeling about this. I watch both of the semi-finals intently, and enjoyed the most competitive pair of semis in the history of the playoff. That said, the way the two games went does not provide me much hope for this one. I think that TCU played extremely well and frustrated Michigan, but the Wolverines also shot themselves in the foot plenty. Georgia doesn’t really shoot themselves in the foot. While TCU’s defense did plenty of frustrate Michigan, I think Georgia’s freakish tight ends present tremendous matchup issues for the undersized Horned Frogs defense. Ohio State had the talent at quarterback and wide receiver to actually beat the best defense in the country. TCU relies much more on running the ball. This just doesn’t seem like a good matchup for the Horned Frogs at all, and in the end I think they will be very lucky to even cover.
SP+ line: UGA -12.2
Vegas line: UGA -12.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: Four. The first was the 1941-42 Orange Bowl, which Georgia won 40-26. That game was apparently Georgia’s first ever bowl game. They didn’t meet again until the 1980 season, when TCU traveled to Athens and lost 34-3. They did the same eight years later, losing again 38-10. Finally, they most recently bet in the 2016 Liberty Bowl, where UGA won 31-23. As a side now, I miss when UGA went to Liberty Bowls.
Last bowl game: At twenty-six straight bowl games, Georgia owns the longest active bowl streak. The first game in the streak was the 1997-98 Outback Bowl, a 33-6 win over Wisconsin. Last season they beat Michigan 34-11 in the Orange Bowl, and then defeated Alabama in the CFP Championship Game 33-18. Most recently, they defeated Ohio State 42-41 in the Sugar Bowl. TCU bowled for the first time since the (in)famous 2018 Cheez-It Bowl, where they lost 10-7 to Cal. (Though they were eligible in 2020.) They got here by defeating Michigan 51-45.
Announcers: Chris Fowler and Kirk Herbstreit

Bowl Games 2022: Happy New Year!

It turns out that while the modern reason that the New Year’s Day bowl games are played on January 2nd when the 1st is a Sunday is due to the NFL, it originally dates to early Rose Bowls when the it was thought to be uncouth to play a football game on a Sunday.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Friday, December 30

Noon: North Carolina State vs. Maryland (Mayo Bowl @ Charlotte, NC; ESPN): We’ve got a renewal of an ACC rivalry to kick off New Year’s Day weekend (see below). For the purposes of this game, these are two teams with less than ideal ends to their seasons. I like Maryland’s talent at the skill positions to take them over the top.
SP+ line: Terps -4.6
Vegas line: Terps -1.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: As you might expect from two teams that founded three conferences together, they’ve played a few times. 70 times, to be exact. The first meeting was in 1909, a 31-0 NC State win. In 1917 they met for the first time as members of the South Atlantic Intercollegiate Athletic Association. That was apparently boring, so they left and helped found the Southern Conference in 1921. In 1953 they left as a group again and founded the ACC. Then it turned out Maryland was kind of broke, so they left the ACC in 2014 for the greener pastures of the Big Ten, where we’re now robbed of the fanbase that absolutely the most vicious to Duke basketball. Anyway. They played somewhat sporadically before the ACC, but they played every season from 1956 to 2013. The Terps also got the last laugh with a 41-21 victory in that 2013 game, but overall the series is tied 33-33-4.
Last bowl game: The Wolfpack last played in a bowl game in the 2020-21 season, where they lost to Kentucky in the Gator Bowl 23-21. But they were supposed to play in the Holiday Bowl last season against UCLA, but it didn’t happen due to COVID. The Terps beat another former (abliet briefly) ACC team in last season’s Pinstripe Bowl, with Virginia Tech on the wrong side of a 54-10 margin.
Announcers: Anish Shroff and Brock Osweiler

2:00: Pittsburgh vs. California-Los Angeles (Sun Bowl @ El Paso, TX; CBS): Well, in my bowl predictions I tried to manifest a rematch of the (in)famous 2008 Sun Bowl that saw Oregon State beat Pitt 3-0, but I only got it half right. The Bruins figure to be more of a threat on offense here, even though I think Pitt will score, unlike in that game.
SP+ line: UCLA -6.4
Vegas line: UCLA -6
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: These teams have met 14 times, and surprisingly none in a bowl game. In fact, since all 14 were in Pitt’s independent days, these were 14 straight meetings from 1958 through 1972. UCLA holds the all-time series lead 9-5, but UCLA won the last game 38-28.
Last bowl game: Pitt is an interesting case, as they were eligible but did not play in a bowl in 2020. Assuming they had, this would be their fifth bowl game in a row, dating to 2018 where they lost 14-13 to Stanford in the Sun Bowl. Last season, they lost 31-21 to Michigan State in the Peach Bowl. UCLA was supposed to play in last season’s Holiday Bowl against NC State, but they didn’t, so their last bowl game was the 2017 Cactus Bowl, where they 35-17 to Kansas State.
Announcers: Brad Nessler and Gary Danielson

3:30: Notre Dame vs. South Carolina (Gator Bowl @ Jacksonville, FL; ESPN): South Carolina ended the season about as hot as you can possibly be, by crushing Tennessee’s playoff dreams once and for all and then beating this biggest rival. I think this Notre Dame team also had a good end-of-season as well, but USC’s offense just seems to be humming.
SP+ line: USC -3.1
Vegas line: Irish -2
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Four, all as regular season home-and-homes in 1976, 1979, 1983, and 1984. Notre Dame leads the series 3-1, but the Gamecocks won the last matchup 36-32.
Last bowl game: The Irish have now been to six bowl games in a row, dating to the 2017-18 Citrus Bowl, where they beat LSU 21-17. Last season they lost 37-35 to Oklahoma State in the Fiesta Bowl. The Gamecocks beat UNC in last season’s Mayo Bowl 38-21.
Announcers: Taylor Zarcour and Matt Stinchcomb

4:30: Wyoming vs. Ohio (Arizona Bowl @ Tuscon, AZ; Barstool.tv): I would really recommend patronizing Barstool, so you don’t have to watch this game. My general theme of picking against the Mountain West so far has been working, so I’ll keep it rolling.
SP+ line: Ohio -4.3
Vegas line: Ohio -1
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: Just two, and both in the regular season. Wyoming won 34-33 in 2007, and then 21-20 in 2008.
Last bowl game: Wyoming won last year’s Potato Bowl over Kent State 52-38. Ohio’s last bowl game was the 2019-20 Potato Bowl, a 30-21 win over Nevada.
Announcers: Jake Marsch, Dan Katz, and Dave Portnoy

8:00: Clemson vs. Tennessee (Orange Bowl @ Miami Gardens, FL; ESPN): THE ORANGEST BOWL! I suspect one of these teams won’t be wearing orange and I’ll be sad, but this could be an interesting game. Well, if Clemson can do anything on offense now that DJ has been demoted. While Hendon Hooker won’t be available for the Vols, Joe Milton will attempt launch some balls to Havana, and that’ll at least be fun to watch. (Especially if any of them find his receivers.) I like the Vols here.
SP+ line: Vols -6.3
Vegas line: Clemson -6.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: There’s been 19 meetings all-time between these two, though all but three of them took place before the end of World War II. The first was a 6-6 tie in 1901. In 1975 and 1976 they met in the regular season. The last meeting was a 27-14 Clemson win in the 2003-04 Peach Bowl.
Last bowl game: The Tigers have now been to eighteen (18!) straight bowl games, dating to the 2005 Champs Sports Bowl, a 19-10 win over Colorado. If they’d gone bowling in 2004 when they went 6-5, this would be their twenty-third straight game, but it’s not. They beat Iowa State in last season’s Cheez-It Bowl, 20-13. The Vols lost last year’s Music City Bowl to Purdue, 48-45.
Announcers: Joe Tessitore and Greg McElroy

Saturday, December 31

Noon:

  • Iowa vs. Kentucky (Music City Bowl @ Nashville, TN; ABC): I believe the over/under on this game is 31. That’s really low. Like, Army-Navy low. Kentucky has a bunch of offensive players hurt or out, and Iowa is… Iowa. This could be bad. About the only way it won’t be is an outside chance that it’s a “horrible but you can’t look away” sort of game. I’m picking Kentucky because I think they’ll at least attempt score, but Iowa is of course the Bane of college football when it comes to low scoring games (“You merely adapted to the under. I was born in it, molded by it” – Brian Ferentz, probably.) So I won’t be surprised either way.
    SP+ line: Kentucky -0.4
    Vegas line: Iowa -2
    Watchability tier: II
    Previous meetings: It’s a bowl game rematch! Kentucky beat Iowa 20-17 in last season’s Citrus Bowl.
    Last bowl game: This would be Iowa’s tenth straight bowl game, dating to a 21-14 loss to LSU in the 2013-14 Outback Bowl, however, they didn’t play in 202 despite at 6-2 record. Last season they lost 20-17 to Kentucky in the Citrus Bowl. For the Cayuts, this will be their seventh bowl game in a row, dating to the 2016 TaxSlayer Bowl, a 33-18 loss to Georgia Tech. Last season, they beat Iowa in the Citrus Bowl, 20-17.
    Announcers: Matt Barrie and Louis Riddick
  • Kansas State vs. Alabama (Sugar Bowl @ New Orleans, LA; ESPN): Bama doesn’t have an opt-outs as far as I know, so that would seem to be trouble for K-State. That said, the Cats have played up to everyone all season, and I’m not sure why they’d stop now. I think Bama’s superior talent will win the day, but I think it’s going to be a good one.
    SP+ line: Bama -7.6
    Vegas line: Bama -3.5
    Watchability tier: IV
    Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
    Last bowl game: K-State won last year’s Texas Bowl over LSU, 42-20. The Crimson Tide will mark this as their nineteenth straight bowl game, dating to a 20-16 loss to Minnesota in the 2004 Music City Bowl. Last season, they beat Cincinnati 27-6 in the Cotton Bowl but lost the College Footbal Playoff Championship Game to Georgia, 33-18.
    Announcers: Dave Pasch, Dusty Dvoracek, and Tom Luginbill

4:00: Michigan vs. Texas Christian (Fiesta Bowl @ Glendale, AZ; ESPN): And so here we are. Welcome to the playoff. I think this game is likely to be the less interesting of the two. TCU has has a fantastic season, and it took a very good K-State two attempts to beat them. The Horned Frogs are not a solved problem by any means. However, I think the Wolverines will have the best defense they’ve faced, and it doesn’t seem TCU has a lot of great ideas on offense outside of “Max Duggan doin’ stuff”. Michigan also has an offense that is essentially “K-State, but better” and I expect they will just lean on TCU until the dam breaks.
SP+ line: Michigan -9
Vegas line: Michigan -7.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: The Wolverines lost last season’s Orange Bowl to Georgia, 34-11. TCU is bowling for the first time since the (in)famous 2018 Cheez-It Bowl, where they lost 10-7 to Cal. (Though they were eligible in 2020.)
Announcers: Sean McDonough and Todd Blackledge

8:00: Georgia vs. Ohio State (Peach Bowl @ Atlanta, GA; ESPN): It’s fair to say I want Georgia to lose. Perhaps the best thing about this playoff is that with Alabama not in it I can be fully on an “anyone but Georgia” train. And here’s the thing: Georgia is more vulnerable this year. Now, this is an extremely relative thing, but what a lot of us in the college football universe are looking at is, well, you know, about the only thing that beat that Best Defense Ever last season was Bryce Young and his fantastic receivers. If there’s anything Ohio State has, it’s a talented QB with some receivers that’ll play on Sundays (including a literal son of a hall-of-famer). I still think Georgia’s going to win, but I won’t be surprised if Ohio State has a gameplan that at least makes them sweat.
SP+ line: UGA -5.3
Vegas line: UGA -6.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: Just one, a 21-14 Georgia win in the 1992-93 Citrus Bowl.
Last bowl game: At twenty-six straight bowl games, Georgia owns the longest active bowl streak. The first game in the streak was the 1997-98 Outback Bowl, a 33-6 win over Wisconsin. Last season they beat Michigan 34-11 in the Orange Bowl, and then defeated Alabama in the CFP Championship Game 33-18. The Buckeyes have now been to ten straight postseason contests, dating to the a 40-35 loss to Clemson in the 2013-14 Orange Bowl. Last season they beat Utah in an absolute cracker of a Rose Bowl, 48-45.
Announcers: Chris Fowler and Kirk Herbstreit

Monday, January 2

Noon: Illinois vs. Mississippi State (ReliaQuest Bowl @ Tampa, FL; ESPN2): I’m sort of thinking this will be a blowout, but I have next to no context how the Bulldogs will react to losing their coach. It’s a tough thing to predict. But throwing 70 times without running it would be the best way to honor Mike Leach that I can think of.
SP+ line: Illinois -0.5
Vegas line: UIUC -1.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Two, and they were very spread out. Illinois won 27-0 in 1923, and slightly more recently lost 28-21 in 1980.
Last bowl game: The Illini last made a bowl game in 2019, where they lost 35-20 to Cal in the Redbox Bowl. The Bulldogs have been to twelve straight bowl games, dating to a 52-14 win over Michigan in the 2010-11 Gator Bowl. Last season they lost 34-7 to Texas Tech in the Liberty Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Flemming and Rod Gilmore

1:00: Purdue vs. Louisiana State (Citrus Bowl @ Orlando, FL; ABC): The Boilermakers will have an interim coach and are going through a bit of a transition, while LSU is a bit more established even with a disappointing end of season. I generally like the Tigers here.
SP+ line: LSU -8.2
Vegas line: LSU -10.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: The Boilermakers beat Tennessee 48-45 in last season’s Music City Bowl. This would’ve been the twenty-third straight bowl game for LSU, which would be the third longest active streak and date to the 2000 Peach Bowl, where they beat Georgia Tech 28-14. However, they did not bowl in 2020 despite a 5-5 record. Last season they lost 42-20 to K-State in the Texas Bowl.
Announcers: Bob Wischusen and Dan Orlovsky

1:00: Southern California vs. Tulane (Cotton Bowl @ Arlington, TX; ESPN): I think USC is going to win. But… Tulane sort of seems like a slightly less talented Utah, and the Utes absolutely hammered USC for four quarters in that Pac-12 Championship Game. I think this one will feature some nice throws by USC and then baffling long runs by the Green Wave. In other words, I think it’ll be fun.
SP+ line: USC -4
Vegas line: USC -1.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: Three, and they all date to when Tulane was more of a football power than they are now. The first was, appropriately, in the 1932-33 Rose Bowl, where USC won 21-12. Tulane won in LA 27-13 in 1942, but USC returned the favor by winning 20-13 in New Orleans in 1946.
Last bowl game: USC went 5-1 in 2020 but did not go to a bowl game, so their last bowl appearance was a 49-24 loss to Iowa in the 2019 Holiday Bowl. The Green Wave lost the 2020 Potato Bowl to Nevada 38-27.
Announcers: Mark Jones, Robert Griffin III, and Quint Kessenich

5:00: Pennsylvania State vs. Utah (Rose Bowl @ Pasadena, CA; ESPN): And finally the Grandaddy of them all. I said all the year the Nittany Lions are very thoroughly the third best team in the Big Ten, and sure enough, they’re here in Pasadena while the two better teams are in the Playoff. The Utes, of course, are fantastic about dragging talented teams to their level, and I more or less think that’s what will happen here. I suspect it’ll also be good for them if the forecast holds and it winds up raining during the second half.
SP+ line: Penn St -1.1
Vegas line: Utah -2.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: Penn State lost to Arkansas in last season’s Outback Bowl, 24-10. This would normally be Utah’s eighth bowl appearance in a row, dating to a 45-10 win over Colorado State in the 2014 Royal Purple Bowl. However, they did not play a bowl game in 2020 despite their 3-2 record. They were just overwhelmed in the second half by Ohio State’s elite wide receivers and lost last season’s Rose Bowl to Ohio State, 48-45.
Announcers: Chris Fowler and Kirk Herbstreit