The final bowl page is up. I went 22-21 overall, getting somewhat bailed out by correctly calling the playoff. If you check the index, I took a slight hit to the overall winning percentage, but hey, I’m still better than random.

I just watched the entirety of the game and suffice to say the “Michigan just out-musceled them on the lines” prediction was correct. Penix was just never comfortable and eventually it just got to be took much, even after Washington adjusted and was able to slow down Michigan a bit after the first quarter. I really don’t think any of this takes anything away from what the Huskies did, after all, this is their first loss.

And with that, we enter offseason mode here. It was a fun season. The sport is changing rapidly, and as we enter the super-conference future, it can be easy to say that nothing will ever be the same. But in the same way that the ACC Coastal didn’t really disappear, Pac-12 After Dark will continue, and it’ll still be college football. (At least for now.)

The bowl page is fully up-to-date. It hasn’t been a great year for me, but I did get the playoff picks right. Let’s see if I get the last one.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Monday, January 8

4:30: Michigan vs. Washington (College Football Playoff National Championship @ Houston, TX; ESPN): I have put off this preview for a bit. I think Michigan will win. That said, I keep going back and forth on why. The obvious reasons are that their line play should win the day. Then I remember that there’s a few teams in recent memory, like say 2019 LSU or 2021 Alabama, that won titles based entirely on superior, elite level quarterback play. Suffice it to say, if there’s a team that’s going to do that tonight, it’s the team that has Micheal Penix Jr. at quarterback. The throws I saw him back in the Sugar Bowl were literally next level. That said, while this Washington team is undefeated there were some games where Penix looked very, very mortal. Then again, Michigan was able to skate through a lot of the season, but was that because they were that superior or because the schedule was easy? I’m still not sure. So here we are. Despite the lines, the figures, the facts, I think this will be a fascinating game. On the eve where college football figures to change forever, I think it’s very, very cool the teams involved are from Michigan and Washington. Let’s enjoy what will almost certainly be a moment in history.
SP+ line: Michigan -8.5
Vegas line: Michigan -5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: These teams have met a total of thirteen times. The first was a 50-0 Michigan win in 1953, and that’s more or less how the other three early meetings in 1954, 1969, and 1970 went. The next two meetings would be in Rose Bowls: Washington notched their first win in the series in the 1977-78 Rose Bowl, 27-20. Three years later they met once again in Pasadena, where Michigan won 23-6. Jim Harbaugh was on the Michigan teams that played and lost to Washington in 1983 and 1984. He started the latter game and didn’t play well, going 17 for 37 passing with three interceptions in the 20-11 loss. The teams met in consecutive Rose Bowls in the 1991 and 1992 seasons, which was also the last time both of these teams were among the best in the sport. In the 1991-92 game, Washington came into the game ranked 2nd in the AP Poll and 1st in the Coaches Poll, which Michigan was 4th and 3rd (respectively). Even with Heisman winner Desmond Howard, the Wolverines lost 34-14 and Washington remained 1st in the Coaches Poll. With Miami’s 22-0 win over Nebraska, this sealed a split national title for the second season in a row. The next season, Elvis Grbac and the 7th ranked Wolverines got a touchdown in the 4th quarter to pull ahead and defeat Mark Brunell and the Huskies 38-31. Since then, the two have only met in the regular season. Washington’s last came game via 23-18 win in 2001. A year later, the return visit to Ann Arbor saw the home team win 31-29. Finally, they met two seasons ago in Ann Arbor and Michigan won 31-10. (Presumably, the return visit to Seattle was nullified by Washington joining the Big Ten.) Overall, Michigan has an 8-5 series lead.
Last bowl game: Michigan advanced to this game with a 27-20 overtime defeat of Alabama in the Rose Bowl. Washington hung on to beat Texas 37-31 in the Sugar Bowl.
Announcers: Chris Fowler, Kirk Herbstreit, Holly Rowe, and Molly McGrath

Updates will be posted to the bowl page soon. In the meantime, here’s the last batch of previews.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Saturday, December 30

Noon: Pennsylvania State vs. Mississippi (Peach Bowl @ Atlanta, GA; ESPN): For whatever reason, I still strongly associate the Peach Bowl with New Year’s Eve, and it still throws me a bit when it kicks off at noon Eastern. With regards to this game, I think Penn State is still a good team. The offense struggles, yes, but ultimately they occupy a relatively unique tier wherein, yes, they’re not as good as the elite teams in their conference, but they’re clearly better than everyone else. Ole Miss fancies that they’re like that, but for the SEC, but I don’t think they’re quite at Penn State’s level yet.
SP+ line: Nittany Lions -10
Vegas line: Nittany Lions -3.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: This is Penn State’s third bowl game in a row. They lost 24-10 to Arkansas in the 2021-22 Outback bowl, and beat Utah 35-21 in the 2022-23 Rose Bowl. This will be the fourth in a row for Ole Miss, dating to a 26-20 win over Indiana in the 2020-21 Outback Bowl. Last season they lost 42-25 to Texas Tech in the Texas Bowl.
Announcers: Mark Jones, Louis Riddick, and Quint Kessenich

2:00: Maryland vs. Auburn (Music City Bowl @ Nashville, TN; ABC): I am having a very time getting excited for this one. Mostly because both of these teams had super weird seasons. We talked about September Maryland a bit on this site, but I think I still like them over a team that should’ve won their one-game season back on Thanksgiving weekend.
SP+ line: Terps -1.1
Vegas line: Tigers -2.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Three, but it’s been a while. The first was a 13-7 Maryland win in 1952. The most recent was a 35-23 Auburn win in 1983, which broke the tie to give the Tigers a 2-1 advantage.
Last bowl game: For the Terps, this is their third in a row. They beat Virginia Tech 54-10 in the 2021 Pinstripe Bowl. Last season, they beat NC State 16-12 in the Mayo Bowl. Auburn last made a bowl game in 2021, losing 17-13 to Houston in the Birmingham Bowl.
Announcers: Taylor Zarzour, Matt Stinchcomb, and Alyssa Lang

4:00: Florida State vs. Georgia (Orange Bowl @ Miami Gardens, FL; ESPN): I like this broadcast crew as much as anyone, but the incredible levels of awkwardness that are likely going to be generated by the inevitable conflict that arises from ESPN both making news and reporting news, well, I’m not looking forward to it. (And no, I am suggesting the Playoff Committee is in ESPN’s pocket, but were they sequestered from all media suggestions a 1-loss Bama should get in over an undefeated FSU? I don’t know.) So here it. There’s a raft of transfers and opt-outs. Neither team will be at full strength. But if FSU wins and goes 14-0, and they should totally claim a title. And I think they will.
SP+ line: UGA -5.8
Vegas line: UGA -14
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: These teams have met eleven times, though all but two occurred in 1965 or earlier. The series started with a 5 straight Georgia wins, beginning with a 14-0 win in 1954. FSU reversed that trend and won 4 straight from 1961-65, but the series then went dormant. They met a for a 17-17 tie in the 1984 Citrus Bowl. Their most recent match was a 26-13 Georgia win in the 2002-03 Sugar Bowl, giving them a a 6-4-1 overall record.
Last bowl game: FSU beat Oklahoma 35-32 in last season’s Cheez-It Bowl. Much to my chagrin, Georgia owns the longest active bowl streak in the country. Their streak started with a 33-6 win over Wisconsin in the 1997-98 Outback Bowl, meaning it’s all the way up to 27 games now. Last season, they escaped Ohio State 42-41 in the Peach Bowl and took care of TCU 65-7 in the CFP Championship Game.
Announcers: Joe Tessitore, Jesse Palmer, and Katie George

4:30: Toledo vs. Wyoming (Arizona Bowl @ Tucson, AZ; The CW): I can’t think of a game that’s more of a polar opposite to the Orange Bowl than this one. But hey, at least it’ll give you something to put on during halftime. That said, there’s a little bit to talk about here. For starters, this is finally the season Toledo put it all together. Wyoming isn’t good… but they seem to be able to win games somehow. It could be fun, and it may be worth a look.
SP+ line: Rockets -7.8
Vegas line: Pokes -3
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: Just two: a 20-15 Wyoming win in 2010, and then a 34-31 Toledo win in 2012.
Last bowl game: The Rockets have made three bowls in a row. In 2021 they lost 31-24 to MTSU in the Bahamas Bowl, and beat Liberty 21-19 in last season’s Boca Raton Bowl. The Mountain Pokes have made three in a row. In 2021 they beat Kent State 52-38 in the Potato Bowl, and last season they lost 30-27 to Ohio in this very game.
Announcers: Jake Marsh, Dave Portnoy, Dan Katz, Caleb Pressley and Adam Ferrone

Monday, January 1

Noon: Wisconsin vs. Louisiana State (ReliaQuest Bowl @ Tampa, FL; ESPN2): LSU is all offense and no defense. Fortunately for them, Wisconsin is still figuring some things out. I have no idea if Jayden Daniels is playing, but either way, this figures to be a win for the Tigers.
SP+ line: Tigahs -8.8
Vegas line: Tigahs -11
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: These teams have met 4 times: a home-and-home in 1971 and 1972, and then with some neutral site kickoffs in 2014 and 2016. LSU won the first won 38-28, and Wisconsin won the last 16-14, resulting in an overall 3-1 record for the Tigers.
Last bowl game: The Badgers have the country’s third longest active streak, dating to a 31-28 win over Colorado in the 2002 Alamo Bowl. Last season, they beat Oklahoma State 24-17 in the Guarnteed Rate Bowl. This will be their 22nd consecutive appearance. This is LSU’s third bowl game in a row. In 2021 they lost 42-20 to K-State in the Texas Bowl, and last season they beat Purdue 63-7 in the Citrus Bowl.
Announcers: Brian Custer, Rod Gilmore, and Lauren Sisler

1:00:

• Iowa vs. Tennessee (Citrus Bowl @ Orlando, FL; ABC): I did Joe Milton isn’t playing in this one for Tennessee. I don’t think it would’ve been a fun assignment and I absolutely don’t blame him, but man a backup QB going against the Iowa defense seems less than ideal. That said, Tennessee at least knows how to play offense, so I’m still giving them an edge over the Hawkeyes.
  SP+ line: Vols -4.9
  Vegas line: Vols -8.5
  Watchability tier: Yes, ha ha ha, yes!!
  Previous meetings: Three, all in special games. The first was a 28-22 Iowa win in the 1982 Peach Bowl. Next up was a 23-22 season opener win for the Vols in the Meadowlands. And most recently, the Vols win 45-28 in the 2014-15 TaxSlayer Bowl.
  Last bowl game: The Hawkeyes didn’t play a bowl game in 2020 (for completely understandable reasons), but if they had this would be their 11th bowl game in a row, dating to the 2013-14 Outback Bowl. Instead, they lost to Kentucky 20-17 in the 2021-22 Citrus Bowl and beat Kentucky 21-0 in last season’s Music City Bowl.
  Announcers: Dave Flemming, Brock Osweiler, and Kayla Burton
• Liberty vs. Oregon (Fiesta Bowl @ Glendale, AZ; ESPN): I don’t see any scenario where this is anything other than absolute asskicking by the Ducks.
  SP+ line: Ducks -13.2
  Vegas line: Ducks -18.5
  Watchability tier: II
  Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
  Last bowl game: This is the fifth bowl game in a row for the Libs, dating to a 23-16 win over Georgia Southern in the 2019 Cure Bowl. Last season they lost 21-19 to Toledo in the Boca Raton Bowl. This is the seventh bowl in a row for the Ducks, dating to a 38-28 loss to Boise State in the 2017 Las Vegas Bowl. Last season they beat UNC 28-27 in the Holiday Bowl.
  Announcers: Bob Wischusen, Robert Griffin III, and Kris Budden

5:00: Michigan vs. Alabama (Rose Bowl @ Pasadena, CA; ESPN): There’s going to be a lot written about this game, even though I think the Sugar Bowl is going to be the better game. (For an example of what I mean, see what I wrote below for the “Previous meetings” section for this game.) What can I say? Basically every available metric favors Michigan, including the metric known as “what I’ve watched of both of these teams throughout the season”. That said, it definitely is reasonable to say that Michigan has only truly been tested a few times, and they have not seen the kind of defense that Alabama will bring to the table in Pasadena. I have picked Michigan to win, but that is mostly on what can perhaps best be described as “hope”, that is, the hope that they’ll realize that to win this game they’re going to need to do something different than what they’ve done all year. Just leaning on this Bama squad and hoping they’ll break… will not work. I know that worked against Penn State. I know that worked against Ohio State. But that idea is what has failed them in their last two playoff appearances. They need to bring something different to the table, and they need to realize it from the start of the game. If they wind up chasing this game the way they did against TCU last year, I’d expect a similar result.
SP+ line: Michigan -8.4
Vegas line: Michigan -1
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: This will be the sixth all-time meeting between two of college football’s most storied teams. Despite being college football royalty for more-or-less the entire history of the sport, the first meeting wasn’t until a matchup of two 7-4 versions of these teams in the 1987-88 Hall of Fame Bowl. Michigan won 28-24. The next met in the 1996-97 Outback Bowl, a classic in the “remember some guys” genre featuring touchdowns from Brian Griese and Shaun Alexander. The Tide won 17-14. Speaking of which, they next met in the 1999-2000 Orange Bowl, which featured some guy named Tom Brady throwing for 4 TDs and a 35-34 Michigan overtime win that was sealed by Bama missing the PAT. Next up, they kicked off the 2012 season with a game in Jerry Jones’s Intergalactic Space Palace, where Bama won 41-14. Most recently, they played in the 2019-2020 Citrus Bowl, where Bama cruised a 35-16 win, breaking the tie and giving the Tide a 3-2 series lead.
Last bowl game: This is Michigan’s third bowl game in a row. In 2021 they lost 34-11 to Georgia in the Orange Bowl, and last season they lost 51-45 to TCU in the Fiesta Bowl.
Announcers: Chris Fowler, Kirk Herbstreit, Holly Rowe, and Laura Rutledge

8:45: Washington vs. Texas (Sugar Bowl @ New Orleans, LA; ESPN): I hope you like points, because, yo, this game is going to have some points. Okay, yeah, Texas has some dudes on the defensive line, but if there’s a team that’s shown they can scheme around that issue, it’s the Huskies. Honestly, I think Texas has plenty of talent, but it feels like next year is going to be their year. I’m a lot more sure about UDub coming out of this one than I am about the result of the Rose Bowl.
SP+ line: Horns -6
Vegas line: Horns -4
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: This game may seem somewhat familiar. And indeed, these two met a year ago in the 2022 Alamo Bowl, which has a close final score (27-20) but the Huskies went up 27-10 early in the 4th quarter and that was pretty much it. They first met in 1974, where the Horns won 35-21. Overall, Texas leads the series 3-2.
Last bowl game: The Dubs beat Texas 27-20 in last season’s Alamo Bowl. The Horns lost 27-20 to Washington in last season’s Alamo Bowl.
Announcers: Sean McDonough, Greg McElroy, Molly McGrath, and Katie George

I got off to a pretty good start in bowl season, but things very much hit the skids last Saturday. You can see how I’m doing here. With that, let’s dive right into the next batch.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Tuesday, December 26

2:00: Minnesota vs. Bowling Green (Quick Lane Bowl @ Detroit, MI; ESPN): This one is tough for me to predict. I don’t think either of these teams is good exactly, though it’s at least somewhat gratifying that the MAC team we lost to this year is in a bowl game. Somehow I don’t think they’re going to be able to pull the “beating a P5 twice” trick.
SP+ line: Gophers -4.7
Vegas line: Gophers -3.5
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: In 1986, the Gophers won 31-7. Their most recent meeting went the other way, with the Falcons pipping the Gophers 14-10. Overall, the series is even at 2-2.
Last bowl game: This will be the Gopher’s third bowl in a row. In 2021, they beat WVU 18-6 into the Guaranteed Rate Bowl, and last season they beat Syracuse 28-20 in the Pinstripe Bowl. Last season, Bowling Green lost 24-19 to New Mexico State in this very game.
Announcers: Connor Onion, Dustin Fox, and Tori Petry

5:30: Texas State vs. Rice (First Responder Bowl @ Dallas, TX; ESPN): First off, shout out to the Bobcats for making the first bowl game in school history. Not only that, they’ve got a matchup they can be pretty competitive in, to the point where I think they’ll also get the first bowl win in school history.
SP+ line: TSU -4.2
Vegas line: TSU -4
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: This is the first FBS meeting between these two teams, though the overall series is 2-2.
Last bowl game: This is the first ever FBS bowl game for the Bobcats. The Owls lost 38-24 to Southern Miss in the Lending Tree Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Neal, Aaron Murray, and Morgan Uber

9:00: Nevada-Las Vegas vs. Kansas (Guaranteed Rate Bowl @ Phoenix, AZ; ESPN): This game could go a couple of ways. Kansas could just come out and whip a demoralized UNLV squad that lost to the most mid Boise State team in years in their last game. Or UNLV will remember that they got here by running a fun offense, and this thing is just a wide open shootout that keeps those of us on the East Coast up too late. While I have the former scenario as my official prediction, I’m secretly hoping for the latter.
SP+ line: KU -7.3
Vegas line: KU -12.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Just two. UNLV won the first in 2002 31-20, and Kansas won 46-24 in 2003.
Last bowl game: This is the first bowl game for UNLV since a 36-14 loss to North Texas in the 2013-14 Heart of Dallas Bowl. The Jayhawks lost last season’s absolute banger of a Liberty Bowl 55-53 to Arkansas.
Announcers: Beth Mowins, Kirk Morrison, and Stormy Buonantony

Wednesday, December 27

2:00: Virginia Tech vs. Tulane (Military Bowl @ Annapolis, MD; ESPN): It was a year that exceeded all expectations in Blacksburg, with the Hokies getting back to a bowl. The Green Wave had a chance to repeat last season’s rousing success, but it turns out they just weren’t as good as the team that won the Sugar Bowl last season. Regardless, I think they will be able to hang with the Hokies, and more than that, win. This could be a fun one.
SP+ line: VPI -0.6
Vegas line: VPI -7.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Nine overall, but it’s been a while. The first was a 21-14 Tulane victory in 1956, and the last was a 30-13 Hokies win in 1989. The Hokies hold a 5-4 lead in the series.
Last bowl game: The Green Wave beat USC in last season’s Cotton Bowl 46-45. Virginia Tech’s last postseason appearance was the 2021 Pinstripe Bowl, where they lost 54-10 to Maryland.
Announcers: Jay Alter, Rene Ingoglia, and Alex Chappell

5:30: North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Mayo Bowl @ Charlotte, NC; ESPN): The mayonnaise dunk after the game generally draws a decidedly mixed reaction, though at least no one will probably get as done bad as Shane Beamer a few years ago (when the cooler containing the mayo bonked him on the head). Either way, you’ve got a UNC team that once again failed to meet expectations versus a WVU team that absolutely smashed them. And that’s definitely reflected in the lines below, with the computer still favoring UNC and the folks in the desert favoring the ‘Neers. Well, as for myself, I think Carolina still just has too much talent.
SP+ line: Heels -4.8
Vegas line: Neers -5.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Only twice, and both in bowl games. Carolina won 20-13 in the 1996-97 Gator Bowl, and the ‘Neers got their revenge with a 31-30 win in the 2008 Car Care Bowl.
Last bowl game: This is UNC’s fifth straight bowl game, dating to a 55-13 win over Temple in the 2019 Military Bowl. Last season they lost 28-27 to Oregon in the Holiday Bowl. WVU last made a bowl in 2021, where they lost 18-6 to Minnesota in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl.
Announcers: Matt Barrie, Dan Mullen, and Harry Lyles Jr.

8:00: Louisville vs. Southern California (Holiday Bowl @ San Diego, CA; FOX): Picking bowl games is sometimes an an entirely vibes-based enterprise, as the kids might say. And no game personifies that more than this one. I cannot imagine USC having any motivation in this one. And their defense has been awful enough all season to allow even the Cardinals reduced offense to move the ball. This could get bad.
SP+ line: Cards -2.9
Vegas line: Cards -7.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: This is the Cardinals’s third straight bowl appearance, dating to the 2021 First Responder Bowl, where they lost 31-28 to Air Force. Last season they beat Cincinnati 24-7 in the Fenway Bowl. USC lost last seasons Cotton Bowl to Tulane, 46-45.
Announcers: Gus Johnson, Joel Klatt, and Jenny Taft

9:00: Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M (Texas Bowl @ Houston, TX; ESPN): I had no idea how to read this one: in the games the Aggies did play after firing Jimbo the offense did seem to work better, and the Pokes being frauds more-or-less got exposed in their last three games. That said, I didn’t really trust SP+ on this one and only picked TAMU by three. Hopefully, this confusion will result in an interesting game.
SP+ line: Aggies -9.5
Vegas line: Aggies -3
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: 28 overall, bolstered by their mutual time in the Big 12. The first though was a 3-0 Cowboys win in 1913. The last was a 24-21 Aggies win in the 2019 Texas Bowl. In between, the Aggies have compiled a 18-10 record.
Last bowl game: The Pokes have one of the longest bowl streaks in the country, with 18 straight bowl season appearances. The streak started with the 2006 Independence Bowl, where Oklahoma State won 34-31 over Alabama. Last season they lost 24-17 to Wisconsin in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. TAMU was supposed to play in the Gator Bowl in 2021, but they didn’t, so their last postseason appearance a 41-27 win over UNC in the 2020-21 Orange Bowl.
Announcers: Roy Philpott, Roddy Jones, and Taylor McGregor

Thursday, December 28

11:00: Boston College vs. Southern Methodist (Fenway Bowl @ Boston, MA; ESPN): SMU figures to pick up their first ACC conference win a little early in this one.
SP+ line: Ponies -15.4
Vegas line: Pones -10.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Just one: a 31-29 SMU win in 1986.
Last bowl game: BC hasn’t made a bowl since a 38-6 loss to Cincinnati in the 2019-20 Birmingham Bowl. SMU made a bowl game in 2019, losing to FAU 52-28 in the Boca Raton Bowl. They opted out in 2020 and their 2021 appearance in the Fenway Bowl was canceled, so they were last seen in December losing 24-23 to BYU in last season’s New Mexico Bowl.
Announcers: Chris Cotter, Mark Herzlich, and Sherree Burruss

2:15: Miami vs. Rutgers (Pinstripe Bowl @ New York, NY; ESPN): If having another game in the northeast makes you hope for a good game, well, it might be raining during the Fenway Bowl, but it seems like it might just be cold for this one. Alas. Either way, Miami should win this one, but that’s never stopped them before.
SP+ line: Canes -9.4
Vegas line: Canes -1.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This is a Big East-tastic matchup. As one might guess, the Canes have a pretty good record in this series, and in fact, it’s a perfect 11-0. The first was a 31-17 Miami win in 1993, and the last was a 34-10 Canes win in 2003.
Last bowl game: For the Canes, their last bowl game was a 37-34 loss to Oklahoma State in the 2020 Cheez-It Bowl. For The State University of New Jersey, their last bowl game was 38-10 loss to Wake Forest in the 2021 Gator Bowl.
Announcers: Drew Carter, Rod Gilmore, and Taylor Davis

5:45: North Carolina State vs. Kansas State (Pop Tarts Bowl @ Orlando, FL; ESPN): This has the potential to just be one of the most solid games of bowl season. There’s no narratives here. Just two teams that had good seasons and they’re going to go play a football game in Florida (that will feature a supposedly edible mascot, to boot). Ultimately I think K-State’s brand of smash mouth football will see them through, but this could be fun along the way.
SP+ line: K-State -6
Vegas line: K-State -3
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: This should be NCSU’s fourth bowl in a row, but their 2021 Holiday Bowl was canceled. Thus, their current streak is two. They lost last season’s Mayo Bowl to Maryland, 16-12. This is K-State’s third bowl game in a row, dating to a 42-20 win over LSU in the 2021-22 Texas Bowl. Last season they lost 45-20 to Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.
Announcers: Anish Shroff, Andre Ware, and Paul Carcaterra

9:15: Oklahoma vs. Arizona (Alamo Bowl @ San Antonio, TX; ESPN): I like the Sooners here, but that’s not say this isn’t going to be interesting. There’s a ton of ways this could go. Hopefully, the possibilities remain in the middle of keeping it interesting. I have the Sooners as a slight favorite, but as stated I won’t be surprised by anything that happens in the Alamodome.
SP+ line: Sooners -4.3
Vegas line: Wildcats -3
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: Just two: a regular season home-and-home in 1988 and 1989. The Sooners won the first one 28-10, but lost the second 6-3.
Last bowl game: The Sooners are owners of the second longest active bowl streak, at 25 in a row. The streak started with a 27-25 loss to Ole Miss in the 1999 Independence Bowl. Last season, they lost 35-32 to Florida State in the Cheez-It Bowl. For Zona, this is their first bowl game since a 38-35 loss to Purdue in the 2017 Foster Farms Bowl.
Announcers: Tom Hart, Jordan Rodgers, and Cole Cubelic

Friday, December 29

12:00: Clemson vs. Kentucky (Gator Bowl @ Jacksonville, FL; ESPN): Let’s roll right into Friday, mostly because that gives me more time to write up the New Year’s Six bowl games. At any rate, this was a weird year for both teams. Clemson though comes in as the team that got better as the year went on, while Kentucky slid… and then beat Louisville out of nowhere on Rivalry Saturday. I slightly like the Tigers here.
SP+ line: Tigers -1.7
Vegas line: Tigers -4.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Thirteen previous meetings, with the last three in bowl games. The first, however, was a 19-6 Kentucky win in 1925. The most recent was a 21-13 Clemson win in the 2009 Music City Bowl. The Wildcats have an 8-5 overall lead in the series.
Last bowl game: This will be Clemson’s 19th bowl game in a row, dating to the 2005 Champs Sports Bowl, a 19-10 win over Colorado. As I’ve probably noted often, they could have a 25 game streak dating to the 1999 Peach Bowl, but they didn’t make a game after going 6-5 in 2004. Last season, they lost 31-14 to Tennessee in the Orange Bowl. Kentucky has an eight game streak dating to their 33-18 loss to Georgia Tech in the 2016 TaxSlayer Bowl. Lats season they were blanked 21-0 by Iowa in the Music City Bowl.
Announcers: Wes Durham, Tim Hasselbeck, and Taylor Tannebaum

2:00: Notre Dame vs. Oregon State (Sun Bowl @ El Paso, TX; CBS): Y’all this could be fun. For starters, the Sun Bowl is just such a weird and unique game anyway. Next, “fun” isn’t often a word associated with one of the most staid brands in the sport, but this Notre Dame team can move the ball and will probably let the Beavers hang around. Which is also good, because Oregon State has been fun to watch all season and while the future is full of uncertainty, this should be a rewarding game for them to cap off a good season.
SP+ line: Domers -4.4
Vegas line: Domers -6.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: Two, and just in bowl games. The Beavers won 41-9 in the 2000-01 Fiesta Bowl, and also won the follow-on game 38-21 in the 2004 Insight Bowl.
Last bowl game: This is the seventh bowl game in a row for Notre Dame, dating to a 21-17 win over LSU in the 2017-18 Citrus Bowl. Last season they beat South Carolina 45-38 in the Gator Bowl. For the Beavers, this is their third in a row, with a 24-13 loss to Utah State in the 2021 LA Bowl and a 30-3 win over Florida in last season’s Las Vegas Bowl.
Announcers: Brad Nessler, Gary Danielson, and Jenny Dell

3:30: Iowa State vs. Memphis (Liberty Bowl @ Memphis, TN; ESPN): If not for West Virginia, Iowa State would be the team we’d be talking about as saving a coach’s job this season. Memphis is a pretty good team and this will effectively be a home game for them, but I just like Iowa State here.
SP+ line: Clones -5.8
Vegas line: Clones -8.5
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: This game might seem kind of familiar, as the Cyclones beat the Tigers 21-10 in the 2017… Liberty Bowl.
Last bowl game: The ‘Clones last made a bowl in 2021, where they lost 20-13 to Clemson in the Cheez-It Bowl. For Memphis, this is their tenth straight bowl bid, dating to a 55-48 win over BYU in the greatest Miami Beach Bowl ever in 2014. However, I should note their appearance in the 2021 Hawaii Bowl was canceled. Last season they beat Utah State 38-10 in the First Responder Bowl.
Announcers: John Schriffen, Rocky Boiman, and Dawn Davenport

8:00: Missouri vs. Ohio State (Cotton Bowl @ Arlington, TX; ESPN): And finally, a New Year’s Six game. Which sort of means we’re almost done with bowl season y’all. With no bowl games on Sundays, there’s only really two more days after this. At any rate, one of the biggest storylines of the postseason so far has to be that the guy who started every game for Ohio State at quarterback this season, Kyle McCord, is transferring to Syracuse. What isn’t obvious to, well, anyone is who exactly do the Buckeyes have lined up behind him that pushed him out? While transfers will probably be here to stay, I don’t expect many “twelve game starter for the Ohio State freakin’ Buckeys” transfers to be part of the new normal. Either way, the game. Despite the many opt-outs for the Buckeyes, they just simply have depth that all but the top 3-5 teams in the sport lack. They demonstrated that in a similar situation against Utah in the Rose Bowl a few years ago, where a freshman Marvin Harrison, Jr. had his coming out party. It figures history will repeat itself in Jerryworld.
SP+ line: Buckeyes -8.9
Vegas line: Tigers -2.5
Watchability tier: III
Previous meetings: Twelve! And as one might expect, it hasn’t been so good for the Tigers. The Buckeyes won the first matchup 19-0 in 1939 and kept it rolling through the 40’s, though Mizzou did get a 13-13 tie in 1946. Mizzoui’s only win was a 22-21 win in Columbus in 1976. Their most recent game was a 35-14 Ohio State win 1998, giving the Buckeyes and overall 10-1-1 record.
Last bowl game: This is Mizzou’s third bowl in a row. In 2021 they lost 24-22 to Army in the Armed Forces Bowl, and last season they lost 27-17 to Wake Forest in the Gasparilla Bowl. For the Buckeyes, this is their eleventh bowl game in a row, dating to a 40-35 loss to Clemson in the 2013-14 Orange Bowl. Last season, they went wide right and lost 42-41 to Georgia in the Peach Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Pasch, Dusty Dvoracek, and Tom Luginbill

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Monday, December 18

2:30: Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion (Bahamas Bowl @ Charlotte, NC; ESPN): So this bowl actually has a different name, since it’s not taking place in the Bahamas. That said, it’s much funnier this way, so I’m sticking with it. This could be an interesting game, but that said I’m hoping my flight has satellite TV so I can watch it. I like the Hilltoppers here.
SP+ line: WKU -8.7
Vegas line: ODU -2.5
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: These teams have met seven times as members of Conference USA. The first was during the second year of the Monarchs’ FBS transition in 2014, where the Hilltoppers won 66-51. The last was in 2021, a 43-20 WKU win. WKU leads the overall series 6-1.
Last bowl game: For the Hilltoppers, this is their fifth straight bowl game, dating to the 2019 First Responder Bowl, where they beat Western Michigan 23-20. Last season they beat South Alabama 44-23 in the New Orleans Bowl. For the Monarchs, this is their third ever bowl game. Their last postseason appearance was a 30-17 loss to Tulsa in the 2021 Myrtle Beach Bowl.
Announcers: Dave Neal, Tom Luginbill, and Abby Labar

Tuesday, December 19

9:00: Texas-San Antonio vs. Marshall (Frisco Bowl @ Frisco, TX; ESPN): This figures to more or less be a rout for the Road Runners, but it still may be worth keeping an eye on.
SP+ line: UTSA -12.4
Vegas line: UTSA -10
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: The Herd won the first meeting in 2013 34-10, and the last 23-0 in 2018. The Roadrunners got one in between, a 9-7 win in 2017.
Last bowl game: With this game, the Road Runners will have four consecutive postseason appearances, dating to the 2020 First Responder Bowl, where they lost 34-31 to Louisiana. Last season they lost 18-12 to Troy in the Cure Bowl. The Herd are pretty proficient at making bowl games. This will be their seventh appearance in a row, dating to the 2017 New Mexico Bowl, where they beat Colorado State 31-28.
Announcers: Jorge Sedano, Rocky Boiman, and Dawn Davenport

Thursday, December 21

8:00: Syracuse vs. South Florida (Boca Raton Bowl @ Boca Raton, FL; ESPN): Again, this figures to be a scenario where the ‘Cuse can cruise, but also they did fire their coach and this USF side is feisty. I like the Orange, but again, this may be worth keeping an eye on.
SP+ line: Cuse -8.5
Vegas line: Cuse -3
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: These teams have met ten times, and you likely wouldn’t guess the overall record. The first meeting was in 2005, a 27-0 USF win, and the most recent was in 2016, a 45-20 USF win. Suffice it to say, the Bulls are 8-2 overall.
Last bowl game: The Orange appeared in last season’s Pinstripe Bowl, losing 28-20 to Minnesota. For the Bulls, it’s been a minute. They were least seen in the postseason losing 38-20 to Marshall in the 2018 Gasparilla Bowl.
Announcers: Matt Barrie, Dan Mullen, and Harry Lyles Jr.

Friday, December 22

6:30: Georgia Tech vs. Central Florida (Gasparilla Bowl @ Tampa, FL; ESPN): It doesn’t seem like I’ll be able to make it to Tampa for this one. That said, I think this will be an interesting game for neutrals. Overall, I’m just thrilled to be playing again in December, and while the bowl page shows a pick for this game, it’s been a while since I had to point out that mostly I don’t pick Tech games.
SP+ line: UCF -5.8
Vegas line: UCF -4.5
Watchability tier: IV
Previous meetings: The Jackets have a 3-2 overall lead on the Knights. They won the first meeting in 1996 27-20, but lost last season 27-10.
Last bowl game: We haven’t appeared in a bowl game since Paul Johnson’s last season (which says a lot about why the last guy got canned), where we lost 34-10 to Minnesota in the Quick Lane Bowl. This will be UCF’s eighth straight bowl game, dating to the 2016 Cure Bowl, a 31-13 loss to Arkansas State. Last season they lost 30-13 to Duke in the Military Bowl.
Announcers: Wes Durham, Tim Hasselbeck, and Taylor Tannebaum

Saturday, December 23

Noon:

• Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State (Camellia Bowl @ Montgomery, AL; ESPN): I honestly can’t think of anything to say about this game other than hoping that NIU’s mascot will get some time on the screen.
  SP+ line: NIU -0.8
  Vegas line: ArkySt -1
  Watchability tier: I
  Previous meetings: The first was a 35-0 NIU victory in 1990, the most recent was a 38-20 NIU win in the 2011-12 godaddy.com Bowl. The Huskies lead the overall series 7-1.
  Last bowl game: NIU’s last bowl game was the 2021 Cure Bowl, a 47-41 loss to Coastal Carolina. Arkansas State is also ending a drought, as they last tasted the postseason in the 2019 Camellia Bowl, a 34-26 win over FIU.
  Announcers: Courtney Lyle, Hutson Mason, and Ashley Stroehlein
• Duke vs. Troy (Birmingham Bowl @ Birmingham, AL; ABC): It definitely seems like Mike Elko got out at the right time, because while achieving any consistent football success at Duke is worthy of praise, they definitely seem to be on the decline. I think a loss to Troy will cemete that.
  SP+ line: Troy -0.9
  Vegas line: Troy -7.5
  Watchability tier: II
  Previous meetings: Just two, a home-and-home from 2013 and 2014. Duke won both times, 38-31 and 34-17, respectively.
  Last bowl game: Duke beat UCF in last season’s Military Bowl, 30-13. Troy beat UTSA 18-12 in last season’s Cure Bowl.
  Announcers: Tom Hart, Cole Cubelic, and Taylor Davis

3:30:

• Air Force vs. James Madison (Armed Forces Bowl @ Fort Worth, TX; ABC): It’s still baffling what happened to Air Force, and this could well be a game where JMU goes up big early and just cruises the rest of the way.
  SP+ line: Dukes -8.1
  Vegas line: Dukes -3
  Watchability tier: II
  Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
  Last bowl game: The Falcons have a three game streak going, dating to the 2021 First Responder Bowl, a 31-28 win over Louisville. They beat Baylor 30-15 in last season’s edition of this game. And for JMU, this is their first ever bowl game.
  Announcers: Anish Shroff, Andre Ware, and Paul Carcaterra
• Utah State vs. Georgia State (Potato Bowl @ Boise, ID; ESPN): On the blue turf, we’ve got a couple of teams meeting for the first time. That said, the Aggies seem to be a better team on paper and by the eye test, and I like them here.
  SP+ line: Aggies -0.8
  Vegas line: Aggies -1
  Watchability tier: I
  Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
  Last bowl game: The Aggies have made three straight bowl games, dating to the 2021 LA Bowl, a 24-13 win over Oregon State. Last season they lost 38-10 to Memphis in the First Responder Bowl. For the Panters, they missed a bowl last year, so their last appearance was a 51-20 romp over Ball State in the 2021 Camellia Bowl.
  Announcers: Chris Cotter, Mark Herzlich, and Morgan Uber

7:00: Eastern Michigan vs. South Alabama (68 Ventures Bowl @ Mobile, AL; ESPN): It’s hard to have much analysis of this game other than “it’s amazing that EMU is here, and that USA will probably pave them over”.
SP+ line: USA -12.6
Vegas line: USA -16
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: EMU has now made three straight bowl games, which considering EMU’s history is amazing and tends to make one wonder why Chris Creighton hasn’t gotten the call to a better job yet. At any rate, the 2021 game was a 56-20 loss to Liberty in the Lendingtree Bowl, and last season they beat San Jose State 41-27 in the Potato Bowl. South Al meanwhile lost 44-23 to Western Kentucky in last year’s New Orleans Bowl.
Announcers: Taylor Zarzour, Matt Stinchcomb, Alyssa Lang

7:30: Utah vs. Northwestern (Las Vegas Bowl @ Paradise, NV; ABC): The Utes draw a Big Ten team once again, and once again they’re favored even despite any evidence they can actually score points. Tune into this one if you like defensive football, because while I think the Utes will win, them scoring a bunch seems unlikely.
SP+ line: Utah -9.8
Vegas line: Utah -7
Watchability tier: II
Previous meetings: Three very spread out meetings. The first was a 13-6 Northwestern win in 1927. 54 years later, Utah won 42-0. Finally, they met in the 2018 Holiday Bowl, where the Cats won 31-20.
Last bowl game: The Utes should probably have 9 bowl games in a row, but they didn’t go bowling in 2020 for hopefully obvious reasons. That said, I still think it’s fair to count their streak going back to the 2014 Royal Purple Bowl, where they beat Colorado State 45-10. Last season they lost 35-21 to Penn State in the Rose Bowl. Unlike the Utes, Northwestern’s last bowl appearance was in the 2020-21 season, where they beat Auburn 35-19 in the Citrus Bowl.
Announcers: Sean McDonough, Greg McElroy, and Stormy Buonantony

10:30: San Jose State vs. Coastal Carolina (Hawaii Bowl @ Honolulu, HI; ESPN): Unfortunately, this isn’t a Christmas Eve Hawaii Bowl because the 24th is a Sunday. That said, take some time to appreciate your family (though I understand if you can’t) and maybe also that the weather in Hawaii is almost certainly better than where-ever you’re reading this from. Happy Holidays y’all. Also, I like the Silicon Valley Spartans here.
SP+ line: SJSU -1
Vegas line: SJSU -10
Watchability tier: I
Previous meetings: This is the first meeting between these teams.
Last bowl game: The Spartans lost last year’s Potato Bowl 41-27. This will be the fourth straight bowl game for the Beach Chickens, dating to the 2020 Cure Bowl where they lost 37-34 to Liberty. Last season they lsot the Birmingham Bowl 53-29 to East Carolina.
Announcers: John Schriffen, Orlando Franklin, and Marilyn Payne