Author Archives: ASimPerson

This Weekend in College Football: Week 2

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • Illinois @ Virginia (ACCN): So I’ll be honest. I’m writing this way too late. This is going to be almost entirely lightning round. I’m so sorry. I’ll at least try to say if it’s watchable or not as well. This one probably won’t be. Virginia.
  • Western Kentucky @ Army (CBSS): Army.
  • Oregon @ Ohio State (FOX): Ohio State – geez, this day is kind of dire so far, but this may still be your best bet even if the Buckeyes win by 2 touchdowns.
  • Pittsburgh @ Tennessee (ESPN): Pitt.
  • South Carolina @ East Carolina (ESPN2): The fact I had to think about this should give any Gamecocks fan pause. Regardless, USC.
  • Tulsa @ Oklahoma State (FS1): Pokes.
  • Miami @ Minnesota (ESPNU): Gophers.
  • Alabama State @ Auburn (SEC)
  • Youngstown State @ Michigan State (BTN)
  • Indiana State @ Northwestern (BTN)
  • Kennesaw State @ Georgia Tech (ACC/RSN): My mood right now is that we need to start looking for a new head coach, regardless of the result of this game. I expected 4-6 wins this year. This is now virtually impossible after last week’s disaster against NIU.
  • Norfolk State @ Wake Forest (ACCNX)

1:00: Florida @ South Florida (ABC): Gators

1:30: Wyoming @ Northern Illinois (ESPN+)

2:00:

  • Rutgers @ Syracuse (ACCN): Cuse
  • Middle Tennessee State @ Virginia Tech (ACCNX): VPI

2:30: Toledo @ Notre Dame (Peacock)

3:00: Purdue @ Connecticut (CBSS): Purdue. Oh my word… yeah, Purdue.

3:30:

  • Texas A&M vs. Colorado (FOX): TAMU
  • Air Force @ Navy (CBS): AF
  • Alabama-Birmingham @ Georgia (ESPN2): UGA 🙁
  • Ball State @ Pennsylvania State (FS1): Nittany Lions
  • California @ Texas Christian (ESPNU): I suspect there will be fewer than 9 interceptions in this one. The question is whether TCU has enough coherence on offense to overcome Cal’s stifling defense. I suspect they do.
  • Buffalo @ Nebraska (BTN): Nebraska… probably?
  • Georgia Southern @ Florida Atlantic (Stadium): Southern
  • Temple @ Akron (ESPN+)

4:00:

  • Mercer @ Alabama (SEC)
  • South Alabama @ Bowling Green (ESPN+)

4:30: Iowa @ Iowa State (“El Assico”; ABC): I’m picking Iow State because I want them to win, not necessarily that I think they will.

5:00: South Carolina State @ Clemson (ACCN)

6:00: Portland State @ Washington State (Pac12)

6:30: Houston @ Rice (CBSS):

7:00:

  • Texas @ Arkansas (ESPN): Longhorns
  • North Carolina State @ Mississippi State (ESPN2): Wolfpack
  • Appalachian State @ Miami (ESPNU): Da U
  • Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin (FS1): Wisky
  • New Mexico State @ New Mexico (“Rio Grande Rivalry”; Stadium): New Mexico, but they’re awful as well so the Aggies will probably still cover 18.5.
  • North Texas @ Southern Methodist (ESPN+)
  • Texas State @ Florida International (ESPN+)
  • Liberty @ Troy (ESPN+)
  • Memphis @ Arkansas State (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Missouri @ Kentucky (SEC): UK
  • Howard @ Maryland (BTN)
  • Idaho @ Indiana (BTN)
  • Georgia State @ North Carolina (ACC/RSN): UNC

8:00:

  • Washington @ Michigan (ABC): Wolverines
  • Jacksonville State @ Florida State (ACCN)

10:00:

  • Vanderbilt @ Colorado State (CBSS): Rams
  • San Diego State @ Arizona (Pac12): Aztecs

10:15: Utah @ Brigham Young (“Holy War”; ESPN): Utah, but this will probably be the most watchable game of the day.

10:30:

  • Stanford @ Southern California (FOX): Trojans
  • Nevada-Las Vegas @ Arizona State (ESPN2): Consider… Arizona State
  • Idaho State @ Nevada (Stadium)

11:00: Hawaii @ Oregon State (FS1): Beavers

This Weekend in College Football: Week 1

As we get the season proper started, a quick reminder on the format of this post. I’ll do small descriptions of each contest involving two FBS teams on a regular linear television channel, otherwise it’s just listed here without commentary.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Saturday

Noon:

  • Pennsylvania State @ Wisconsin (FOX): This is a real test for each time to see where they’re at going into a pivotal season for each. I think I have to prefer Wisky at home, but I can’t say I’m terrible confident about it.
  • Oklahoma @ Tulane (ABC): Due to the events of Hurricane Ida, this is really Tulane going to Norman. Either way, the outcome would have been the same: the Sooners roll.
  • Western Michigan @ Michigan (ESPN): Michigan fans have no idea what to expect in 2021, but I figure they’ll at least beat WMU.
  • Stanford vs. Kansas State (Advocare Classic @ Arlington, TX; FS1): Well, for some reason Stanford and K-State are playing a neutral site game in Arlington. Good on them, I suppose. I like K-State here.
  • Army @ Georgia State (ESPNU): Not sure how fun this will be. I’m not sure how good either team will be either. I’ll take Army as a Week 1 pick but I don’t feel good about it.
  • Louisiana-Monroe @ Kentucky (SEC): Kentucky.
  • Fordham @ Nebraska (BTN)
  • Holy Cross @ Connecticut (CBSS)
  • Colgate @ Boston College (ACCN)

2:00:

  • Fresno State @ Oregon (Pac12): Oregon is a slight step up from UConn for Fresno. Just a “slight” one.
  • Lafayette @ Air Force (Stadium)
  • Rice @ Arkansas (ESPN+)

3:30:

  • Alabama vs. Miami (Chik-fil-a Kickoff @ Atlanta, GA; ABC): I’ve heard Alabama may be worse this year, but I’ll believe it when I see it.
  • West Virginia @ Maryland (ESPN): I still have zero confidence in Maryland, even with Tua’s younger brother up there in College Park.
  • Indiana @ Iowa (BTN): Starting a Big Ten team in the first weekend of the season with another team in the same rough tier seems kind of unfortunate. I like Indiana here, but Iowa will be a test for them.
  • Marshall @ Navy (CBSS): Navy.
  • Miami @ Cincinnati (ESPN+)

4:00:

  • Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State (ESPNU): Miss State.
  • Central Michigan @ Missouri (SEC): Mizzou.
  • Massachusetts @ Pittsburgh (ACCN): Pitt.

4:30:

  • Louisiana @ Texas (FOX): Texas. Yes, it’s fashionable to think the Cajuns (who are also Ragin’) will give them a run for this money, but that’s just it: it’s a fashion.
  • Northern Iowa @ Iowa State (ESPN+)

5:00: San Jose State @ Southern California (Pac12): USC? Oh, right, what am I thinking, of course USC.

6:00:

  • Gardner-Webb @ Georgia Southern (espn3.com)
  • Campbell @ Liberty (espn3.com)

7:00:

  • Texas Tech vs. Houston (Texas Kickoff @ Houston, TX; ESPN): If it’s Houston’s not going to be good now, then wen? I will pick them here though.
  • Oregon State @ Purdue (FS1): In one of the odder inter-sectional matchups, I’m not sure which way to go. Purdue should be better, but I can’t say I’ve kept up whole-heartedly with whatever the Beavers have been up to. I’m picking Purdue, but tenatively.
  • Syracuse @ Ohio (CBSS): Duke already lost to a FCS team as I type this early Saturday morning, so Syracuse, please, have your stuff together.
  • Norfolk State @ Toledo (espn3.com)
  • Monmouth @ Middle Tennessee State (espn3.com)
  • Southern @ Troy (espn3.com)
  • Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State (espn3.com)
  • Baylor @ Texas State (ESPN+)
  • Akron @ Auburn (ESPN+)
  • Eastern Illinois @ South Carolina (ESPN+)
  • Nicholls State @ Memphis (ESPN+)
  • Missouri State @ Oklahoma State (ESPN+)
  • Abilene Christian @ Southern Methodist (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Georgia vs. Clemson (Duke’s Mayo Classic @ Charlotte, NC; ABC): Here it is folks, the Big One. The game of the week of the century. A lot of discussion has been centered around if a loss here would really hurt the standing of either. Personally, I think there’s plenty to lose. Clemson’s remaining schedule is soft. Is it sufficient for them to recover if they have 1-loss versus other undefeated or 1-loss Power 5 teams? I’m not sure. Georgia has more chances to recover if the lose here and then wind up with 1-loss, but what are their chances of actually ending with 1-loss in that case? It should be a fantastic game regardless. I’m going with Clemson because #thwg.
  • Florida Atlantic @ Florida (SEC): Gators roll easily.
  • Texas-San Antonio @ Illinois (BTN): Fortunately for the Illini UTSA is really not good.
  • Northern Illinois @ Georgia Tech (ACCN): It’s Year 3 for Geoff Collins and company. I’m… cautiously optimistic? We’ve got a brutal schedule so getting back to bowl eligibility might be a lofty goal, but honestly being able to handle business in a game like this may be sufficient proof already. At least I hope so.
  • William & Mary @ Virginia (ACC/RSN)
  • Northwestern State @ North Texas (espn3.com)

8:00:

  • Kent State @ Texas A&M (ESPNU): Aggies roll.
  • Montana @ Washington (Pac12)
  • East Tennessee State @ Vanderbilt (ESPN+)
  • Southern Mississippi @ South Alabama (ESPN+):
  • Duquesne @ Texas Christian (ESPN+)

8:30: Louisiana State @ California-Los Angeles (FOX): UCLA looked better last week against Hawaii, but in a battle in the trenches I’ll take some SEC boys anyday.

9:00: Bethune-Cookman @ Texas-El Paso (espn3.com)

10:30:

  • Brigham Young vs. Arizona (Las Vegas Kickoff Classic @ Paradise, NV; ESPN): No idea about either of these teams other than a vague recollection Zona is kinda bad, so sure, BYU, why nt.
  • Nevada @ California (FS1): The Bears should roll.
  • New Mexico State vs. San Diego State (@Carson, CA; CBSS): Aztecs.

11:00: Utah State @ Washington State (Pac12): Cougs.

Sunday

7:30: Notre Dame @ Florida State (ABC): I’ll tentatively take Notre Dame here, but  this should be a good measuring stick for both teams.

Monday

8:00: Louisville vs. Mississippi (Chick-fil-a Kickoff @ Atlanta, GA; ESPN): Lane will almost certainly take the chance to hang 60+ on possibly one of the worst P5 teams.

This Week In College Football: Week 1

As we get the season proper started, a quick reminder on the format of this post. I’ll do small descriptions of each contest involving two FBS teams on a regular linear television channel, otherwise it’s just listed here without commentary.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Thursday

6:30: Temple @ Rutgers (BTN): Wait, this is the game that’s going to kick off the college football season? Well, at least Greg Schiano will get a chance to show some progress in Week 1.

7:00:

  • Boise State @ Central Florida (ESPN): This is the sort of intra-G5 matchup I want to see more of. Mostly because I don’t have a fantastic read on either of these teams and I think it’d be fun to be able to watch this, even though I’m traveling and I won’t be able to. I’m picking… this is a tough one y’all. Boise? Sure, Boise.
  • Long Island @ Florida International (espn3.com)
  • Wagner @ Buffalo (espn3.com)
  • Tennessee-Martin @ Western Kentucky (ESPN+)
  • Western Illinois @ Ball State (ESPN+)
  • The Citadel @ Coastal Carolina (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Eastern Carolina vs. Appalachian State (Duke’s Mayo Classic @ Charlotte, NC):  App State should be able to take out ECU easily.
  • South Florida @ North Carolina State (ACCN): This is still a relatively depleted USF team that shouldn’t worry the Wolfpack.
  • Weber State @ Utah (Pac12)
  • California-Davis @ Tulsa (ESPN+)

8:00:

  • Ohio State @ Minnesota (FOX): I hope the Gophers can give a fight here, but it’s hard to see anything other than the Buckeyes rolling.
  • Bowling Green @ Tennessee (SEC): The Vols should be able to take out one of the worst teams in college football.

10:00: Eastern Washington @ Nevada-Las Vegas (Stadium)

10:30: Southern Utah @ Arizona State (Pac12)

Friday

6:00: North Carolina @ Virginia Tech (ESPN): Most of the college football universe is essentially waiting to see whether Justin Fuente is going to get fired, and well, I like Carolina here for a reason.

7:00:

  • Duke @ Charlotte (CBSS): I think I still have to pick Duke here but if I’m being honest I’m not all that confident about it.
  • Old Dominion  @ Wake Forest (ACCN): Wake.
  • Saint Francis @ Eastern Michigan (espn3.com)

8:00: South Dakota @ Kansas (ESPN+)

9:00:

  • Michigan State @ Northwestern (ESPN): I’m not going to watch this game, and you don’t have to either. I’ll take Northwestern here though.
  • South Dakota State @ Colorado State (FS1)
  • Northern Colorado @ Colorado (Pac12)

This Weekend in College Football: Week 0

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

1:00: Nebraska @ Illinois (FOX): Happy Scott Frost Day! The Huskers by all rights should win this one, and in a way it works better for the relative poetic justice that will come later.

2:00: Connecticut @ Fresno State (CBSS): UConn gets their trek to be one of the worst FBS teams ever started bright and early.

3:30: Hawaii @ California-Los Angeles (ESPN): It’s getting to be put up-or-shut up time for Chip Kelly down in Pasadena. The Bruins should be able to hold off a depleted Hawaii team regardless.

6:00: Eastern Illinois @ Indiana State (ESPN+)

7:00: Alcorn State vs. North Carolina Central (MEAC/SWAC Challenge @ Atlanta, GA; ESPN)

9:30: Texas-El Paso @ New Mexico State

10:00: Southern Utah @ San Jose State (CBSS)

Picks so far this year: 0-0

Rating the 2021 Non-Conference Slate: Epilogue

And now, the OOC schedule preview closing ceremonies.

First, The List of Shame! No one plays more than one FCS opponent this year, so no one’s on it. Huzzah!

Next up, shouting out teams that play more than one other Power Five team (excluding Notre Dame playing ACC teams and yearly/regularly scheduled rivalries):

  • Miami (Alabama, Michigan State)
  • Duke (Northwestern, Kansas)
  • Stanford (Kansas State, Vanderbilt)
  • West Virginia (Maryland, Virginia Tech)

That’s not many! But hey, we’ll look forward to potentially more of these in the future.

And finally, each conference’s average “legit” rating:

  • Big Ten (0.226)
  • Pac-12 (0.194)
  • ACC (0.183)
  • SEC (0.165)
  • Big 12 (0.1)

Fully half of the Big Ten has a scheduling scoring 1.0, which helps bring their average up compared to other conference. The last time we did this for a full season in 2019, the opposite was not true, and so it’s good to see the B1G finish first in something, I suppose.

Anyhow! We’re gonna watch and talk about actual football this weekend! See you then!