Author Archives: ASimPerson

This Weekend in College Football: Week 2

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • Iowa @ Iowa State (“¡El Assico!”; FOX): This particular edition features a lot of questions for both teams. On a basic level, I have no idea who’s going to win. That said, it can’t be especially common that its the Cyclones coming in ranked, right? And it’s in Ames. Let’s go with the ‘clones here.
  • San Jose State @ Texas (ABC): Texas, by a lot.
  • Illinois @ Duke (ESPN): I just don’t really believe in Duke. Going with the Illini.
  • Virginia @ North Carolina State (ESPN2): Obligatory: this is not a conference game. With that out of the way, let’s also talk about both of these teams being a little bit on the struggle bus this season. I don’t know who is on the bus more, but I generally assume that’s UVA, so I’ll stick with that here.
  • Baylor @ Southern Methodist (The CW): I like the Bears here.
  • Kent State @ Texas Tech (TNT): Texas Tech.
  • Kennesaw State @ Indiana (FS1): Hoosier.
  • Florida International @ Pennsylvania State (BTN): Penn State.
  • Northwestern State @ Minnesota (BTN)
  • Central Michigan @ Pittsburgh (EPSNU): Pitt.
  • East Texas A&M @ Florida State (ACCN)
  • Liberty @ Jacksonville State (CBSS): Oh this one is probably worth talking about it, but then that means I have to think about Liberty more than I’d prefer. Let’s go Cocks.
  • Connecticut @ Syracuse (ACCNX): ‘Cuse.

12:45: Utah State @ Texas A&M (SEC): Aggies. Er, the Texas ones.

2:00:

  • Western Carolina @ Wake Forest (ACCNX)
  • Howard @ Temple (ESPN+)

3:00: Idaho State @ New Mexico (MWN)

3:30:

  • Mississippi @ Kentucky (ABC): There’s no university where Kentucky wins, this, right? I’m not sure there’s more of a “fall from grace” or “stayed too long” story in college football right now that’s worse than what’s going with Mark Stoops and Kentucky.
  • Delaware @ Colorado (FOX): Fortunately for Deion, his clock management skills will not be in question in this game, as well as the arguably bigger issue of somehow losing a game that his team had a +3 turnover margin in.
  • Oklahoma State @ Oregon (CBS): Apparently there was a bit of a spat between the coaches involved here, but the main thing I saw is that Mike Gundy lifted his shirt during his press conference? Things seem great in Stillwater. Ducks romp here.
  • Kansas @ Missouri (“Border War”; ESPN2): Though it’d still be more morally correct for this to be in November, this game is back on the schedule for a bit and I’m here for it. As for who’s going to win, uh, no clue! At least in this case, I think that’ll make it fun. I’ll take the Tigers.
  • Fresno State @ Oregon State (The CW): I’m having a hard time judging this one and I’m not sure where to land on it. I think I like the Beavers at home? This could be a secretly fun one to watch.
  • Grambling State @ Ohio State (BTN)
  • Troy @ Clemson (ACCN): Tigers. Oh, also, the rest of this is going to be a lightning round (with some exceptions). Next!
  • Alabama-Birmingham @ Navy (CBSS): Navy! Like, by a lot.
  • Miami @ Rutgers (Peacock)
  • Gardner-Webb @ Georgia Tech (ACCNX): Okay, so last week was an excellent start. It’s always good to overcome a -3 turnover margin against a P4 team. That said, we also obviously have some things to clean up. And frankly, if Haynes King is still taking hits in the second half of this game something has gone drastically wrong. I love running the quarterback, and I enjoy his toughness, but we have to figure out how he can take less hits in a 12+ game season.
  • East Tennessee State @ Tennessee (ESPN+)
  • Austin Peay @ Georgia (ESPN+)
  • Saint Francis @ Buffalo (ESPN+)
  • Texas State @ Texas-San Antonio (ESPN+)
  • Bowling Green @ Cincinnati (ESPN+)
  • Bryant @ Massachusetts (ESPN+)
  • Lindenwood @ Appalachian State (ESPN+)
  • North Texas @ Western Michigan (ESPN+)

4:00:

  • Middle Tennessee State @ Wisconsin (FS1): Wisky!
  • West Virginia @ Ohio (ESPNU): ‘Neers!

4:15: South Florida @ Florida (SEC): Florida?

5:00:

  • Sacramento State @ Nevada (MWN)
  • Arkansas State @ Arkansas (@Little Rock, AR; ESPN+): Just a quick note that this is the first ever meeting between these two teams.
  • Jackson State @ Southern Mississippi (ESPN+)

6:00:

  • Texas Southern @ California (ACCNX)
  • North Carolina Central @ Old Dominion (ESPN+)
  • Missouri State @ Marshall (ESPN+)
  • California Polytechnic @ Utah (ESPN+)
  • Florida A&M @ Florida Atlantic (ESPN+)

7:00:

  • Army @ Kansas State (ESPN): K-State!
  • Northern Colorado @ Colorado State (MWN)
  • Bethune-Cookman @ Miami (ACCNX)
  • South Carolina State @ South Carolina (ESPN+)
  • Houston @ Rice (ESPN+)
  • North Carolina A&T @ Central Florida (ESPN+)
  • Tulane @ South Alabama (ESPN+)
  • Western Kentucky @ Toledo (ESPN+)
  • Memphis @ Georgia State (ESPN+)
  • Long Island @ Eastern Michigan (ESPN+)
  • North Carolina @ Charlotte (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Michigan @ Oklahoma (ABC): This is probably the game of the day, but I’m coming down on the side of “Brent Venenables will know how to confuse a freshman QB”.
  • Boston College @ Michigan State (NBC): Sparty.
  • Arizona State @ Mississippi State (ESPN2): I’m considering Arizona State here.
  • Georgia Southern @ Southern California (FS1): USC.
  • Southern Illinois @ Purdue (BTN)
  • Akron @ Nebraska (BTN): Huskers.
  • Ball State @ Auburn (ESPNU): Tigers.
  • Vanderbilt @ Virginia Tech (ACCN): Vandy?
  • Louisiana Tech @ Louisiana State (ESPN+)
  • Charleston Southern @ Coastal Carolina (ESPN+)

7:45: Louisiana-Monroe @ Alabama (SEC): Jokes aside, uh, Bama? Probably? My point is that I have been saying for years that I remember when Bama was bad, and that it isn’t Manifest Destiny for the Tide to be national title contenders. I remember when they lost to ULM the last time. Will this time? No. But the point remains the fact we even have to discuss this means that DeBoer needs to figure out how to right the ship, and quick. (Note: I don’t mind this turmoil at all.)

8:00:

  • California-Los Angeles @ Nevada-Las Vegas (CBSS): UCLA?
  • McNeese @ Louisiana (ESPN+)

9:00:

  • Tennessee-Martin @ Texas-El Paso (ESPN+)
  • Tulsa @ New Mexico State (ESPN+)

10:00: Weber State @ Arizona (ESPN+)

10:15:

  • Stanford @ Brigham Young (ESPN): BYU!
  • San Diego State @ Washington State (The CW): Wazzu?

11:00: California-Davis @ Washington (BTN)

Midnight: Sam Houston State @ Hawaii (Spectrum)

This Weekend in College Football: Week 1

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Saturday

Noon:

  • Syracuse vs. Tennessee (@Atlanta, GA; ABC): This game is first on the list, but that’s more of a reflection of “ABC” coming first in alphabetical order than the importance of this game. The Vols should roll.
  • Texas @ Ohio State (FOX): Whoa nellie! In what almost has to be the biggest Week 1 game in the recent history of college football (in that, you wouldn’t be crazy to pencil these teams in for the playoff final) both teams actually enter with a lot of questions. The hype, of course, centers around new Texas starter Arch Manning. (You may have heard of him and his famous uncles and grandfather.) Ohio State also has a new quarterback: Julian Sayin. (I will try to refrain from “sayin'” jokes. Promise.) Unlike the Longhorns, Ohio State has a proven quantity in Jeremiah Smith, and at any rate the Buckeyes seem to produce wide receivers as though they grow on the trees in central Ohio.
    So any rate, who’s going to win this game? I don’t know, y’all. This should be a hell of a game, I can say that for sure. I’ll take the Buckeyes at home.
  • Mississippi State @ Southern Mississippi (ESPN): Remember that thing last winter were Marshall didn’t have a coach and enough players to field a team for a bowl game? Yeah, so a lot of them wound up in Hattiesburg, and the visiting Bulldogs are going to see what they’re made of. I mean, Marshall was pretty good last year, but I Miss State isn’t the sort of bad that really makes me think they’re going to drop this.
  • Ball State @ Purdue (BTN): Meanwhile, I would definitely take Marshall, er, Southern Miss over Purdue, which a team that will be contending with Stanford for most of this season for the title of “worst team in the Power 4”. Fortunately for the Boilermakers, they get Ball State week 1, so their fate is somewhat spared.
  • Florida Atlantic @ Maryland (BTN): The Terps should be fine here.
  • Northwestern @ Tulane (ESPNU): Oh, right, add Northwestern to that list with Purdue and Stanford. I completely favor Tulane here.
  • Duquense @ Pittsburgh (ACCN)
  • Virginia Military @ Navy (CBSS)
  • Merrimack @ Kent State (ESPN+)

12:45: Toledo @ Kentucky (SEC): Hugh Freeze’s seat is pretty hot, but it’s not looking good for ol’ Mark Stoops in Lexington. They should still win this one, but Toledo is consistently the MAC’s friskiest (and most talented) team and could well give them more than just a scare.

2:00:

  • Fordham @ Boston College (ACCNX/ESPN+)
  • Robert Morris @ West Virginia (ESPN+)

2:30: Old Dominion @ Indiana (FS1)

3:00: Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville (ACCN)

3:30:

  • Nevada @ Pennsylvania State (CBS): My grand prediction for the 2025 regular season is that James Franklin will finally get over the hump and beat Ohio State, and then drop one of their remaining regular season games in November. Suffice it to say, the Nittany Lions have nothing to worry about here.
  • South Dakota @ Iowa State (FOX)
  • Alabama @ Florida State (ABC): Florida State is probably going to win more games this year, heck, I’ll say that they’ll even get above 0.500. But… they’re not going to win this one.
  • Marshall @ Georgia (ESPN): This is certainly a way to ease into the season.
  • Bucknell @ Air Force (CBSS)
  • Holy Cross @ Northern Illinois (ESPN+)
  • Temple @ Massachusetts (ESPN+)

4:00:

  • Montana State @ Oregon (BTN): Hey, remember that thing Oregon did last season where they let Idaho hang out for an uncomfortably long time? Well, it could happen again here.
  • Maine @ Liberty (ESPN+)

4:30: Tennessee-Chattanooga @ Memphis (ESPN+)

6:00:

  • UAlbany @ Iowa (FS1)
  • Coastal Carolina @ Virginia (ACCN): I mean, UVA should be a heavy favorite here, but, woof. I can’t predict the upset but I wouldn’t be surprised.
  • Illinois State @ Oklahoma (ESPN+)
  • Weber State @ James Madison (ESPN+)

7:00:

  • Texas-San Antonio @ Texas A&M (ESPN): You know UTSA will be up for this one, but I don’t think it’ll matter much.
  • Long Island @ Florida (ESPN+)
  • Charleston Southern @ Vanderbilt (ESPN+)
  • Southeast Missouri State @ Arkansas State (ESPN+)
  • Morgan State @ South Alabama (ESPN+)
  • Nicholls State @ Troy (ESPN+)
  • Austin Peay @ Middle Tennessee State (ESPN+)
  • North Alabama @ Western Kentucky (ESPN+)
  • North Dakota @ Kansas State (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • New Mexico @ Michigan (NBC): Michigan has a ton of questions, but not a lot will be asked of them here.
  • Louisiana State @ Clemson (ABC): One of the other huge games of the day. For LSU, the question is whether Brian Kelly will finally figure it out. For Clemson, the question is whether Dabo has finally put together a competitive roster in the post-NIL world. For my money, I think the latter is more likely.
  • Missouri State @ Southern California (BTN)
  • Texas-El Paso @ Utah State (CBSS): What the heck, let’s go Miners.
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Tech (ESPN+)
  • Southeastern Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech (ESPN+)

7:45: Georgia State @ Mississippi (SEC): This will be a walk over for the Fightin’ Kiffins.

8:00:

  • Portland State @ Brigham Young (ESPN+)
  • Rice @ Louisiana (ESPN+)
  • Lamar @ North Texas (ESPN+)
  • Eastern Michigan @ Texas State (ESPN+)
  • Abilene Christian @ Tulsa (ESPN+)

9:00:

  • East Texas A&M @ Southern Methodist (ACCN)
  • Bryant @ New Mexico State (ESPN+)

9:30: Georgia Southern @ Fresno State (FS1): We love to see this sort of intersectional game, that’s what the early part of the season is about. I like Fresno here.

10:00:

  • Idaho @ Washington State (The CW)
  • Northern Arizona @ Arizona State (ESPN+)
  • California-Davis @ Utah Tech (ESPN+)

10:30:

  • California @ Oregon State (ESPN): Cal lost all of their running backs, and then some, to the portal. Oregon State has had a year to recover, so I like them in one of the two Pac-12 After Dark revivals here.
  • Hawaii @ Arizona (TNT): Hawaii beat Stanford last week, yeah, but Zona all the way here.

11:00:

  • Utah @ California-Los Angeles (FOX): There are a ton of question marks for both teams (hey, what else is new in Week 1?) but I tend to prefer the “Kyle Whittingham’s Last Ride” narrative, so let’s go with that.
  • Colorado State @ Washington (BTN): The Huskies shouldn’t have any issues with this one.

Sunday

3:00: South Carolina vs. Virginia Tech (@Atlanta, GA; ESPN): There’s questions a-plenty here, but they’re all almost of the Hokies. Such as: will Brent Pry still be the coach in November? Not a great start.

7:30: Notre Dame @ Miami (ABC): I’m bullish on the Irish this year, and while I’d prefer Mario save the annual Clock Commander incident for later in the season, well, there’s no time like the present.

Monday

8:00: Texas Christian @ North Carolina (ESPN): And finally, we get to… whatever the heck is going on here. I won’t be the first person to note that TCU seems to have a knack for gimmick openers (as they were also Coach Prime’s first matchup). Unlike that time, though, I don’t think they lose this one. I just have a feeling something is going to wrong for Belichick that just would never happen in the NFL and he, and his staff of mostly lackeys, won’t know what to do.

 

 

 

This Week in College Football: Week 1

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Thursday

5:30: Boise State @ South Florida (ESPN): It’s starting to feel real. With the Braves pretty thoroughly Out of It, I’ve (yes, I’m switching back to first person here, deal with it) been looking forward to the start of the season. Of course, that’s also because one of the biggest games of the weekend also involves the Jackets. Anyway, in this one, good on USF for scheduling this Boise but boy howdy I do not like their chances.

6:00:

  • Ohio @ Rutgers (BTN): Someday, Rutgers is going to have to figure out how literally anyone else other than Greg Schiano can make Rutgers even competent. Fortunately for the Scarlet Knights, that hasn’t happened yet.
  • Lafayette @ Bowling Green (ESPN+)

7:00:

  • East Carolina @ North Carolina State (ACCN): This is a low-key sorta rivalry, in that ECU absolutely hates the Tobacco Road schools. I don’t like their chances to win, but in terms of “game most likely to feature a brawl” this weekend, this is almost certainly #1.
  • Delaware State @ Delaware (ESPN+)
  • Saint Francis @ Louisiana-Monroe (ESPN+)
  • Wyoming @ Akron (ESPN+)
  • Jacksonville State @ Central Florida (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Central Arkansas @ Missouri (SEC)
  • Elon @ Duke (ACCNX/ESPN+)
  • Tennessee-Martin @ Oklahoma State (ESPN+)

8:00:

  • Buffalo @ Minnesota (FS1): Okay, Thursday doesn’t have a lot of intrigue so far. Let’s see what we have next…
  • Stephen F. Austin @ Houston (ESPN+)
  • Alabama State @ Alabama-Birmingham (ESPN+)

9:00:

  • Nebraska vs. Cincinnati (@Kansas City, MO): Oh hey there! Nebraska, are you feeling good about this season? Well, you had better hold serve in a nominal neutral site game (but will totally be 90% Cornhuskers) against a Bearcats team that figures to be spicy.
  • Miami @ Wisconsin (BTN): On Wisconsin, and on to Friday.

Friday

6:00: Tarleton State @ Army (CBSS)

7:00:

  • Western Michigan @ Michigan State (FS1): This is definitely a MAC vs. B1G game that is happening.
  • Appalachian State vs. Charlotte (@Charlotte, NC; ESPNU): It’s a little head-scratching that Charlotte is playing this game in the Panthers’ stadium and not next week’s game against UNC. Either way, the 49ers will not be favored in either contest.
  • Kennesaw State @ Wake Forest (ACCN): It’s been a tough road so far in FBS for Kennesaw, and it’s going to be tough once against in 2025.
  • Bethune-Cookman @ Florida International (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Western Illinois @ Illinois (Peacock)
  • Wagner @ Kansas (ESPN+)

8:00:

  • Auburn @ Baylor (FOX): There may be no hotter seat in college football at the start of 2025 than the one on the Plains. And the reason isn’t so much that Auburn doesn’t have talent (though they’ve been weirdly bad at QB as of late), it’s more that they don’t play well. This is a bit of a statement game for both teams, but one gets the feeling it’s going to be a bit bigger of a deal for the Tigers. I like the Bears.
  • Georgia Tech @ Colorado (ESPN): Whoo boy. It’s been a minute since we came into a season with what I would call “a reasonable amount of hype”. This isn’t a 2015-style situation where we’re coming in ranked, but I would say the consensus is that we’re favored in this one. We certainly have a lot less roster turnover than Colorado, who is coming into the season down their two (well, three, really, depending on how you count Travis Hunter) most important players and the raft of transfers that has so far marked Coach Prime’s tenure. Is this the year the Buffs are finally fielding Power 4-quality offensive and defensive lines? Maybe! But also, maybe not! We’re going to find real quick on Friday night who is moving who in the trenches, that I feel pretty good about saying.

9:00: Nevada-Las Vegas @ Sam Houston State (CBSS): I don’t know if UNLV is good, but I like them over SHSU.

10:30: Central Michigan @ San Jose State (FS1): It’s year two for Coach Ken in Silicon Valley, and honestly I think they’re going to be okay? This one is certainly manageable for them.

Rating the 2025 Non-Conference Slate

About the Ratings

Each offseason, my brother and I rate every Power 5 team on the basis of how excited you’d be to see that team on your non-conference schedule. The possible ratings are “no rating”, 0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, and 1. “1” is the best, as evidenced by the list of 22 teams that earned a 1 this year: Alabama, Auburn, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Georgia, LSU, Miami, Michigan, Mississippi (new for 2025), North Carolina (new for 2025), Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Oregon, Penn State, Southern Cal (new for 2025), Tennessee, Texas, Texas A&M, Washington, and Wisconsin.

How does each conference fare in terms of the ratings? Well, let’s see:

  1. SEC (0.70 average rating)
  2. Big Ten (0.55)
  3. ACC (0.38)
  4. Big 12 (0.375)

That’s mostly what you’d expect, except for maybe the ACC there. At any rate, let’s dive right into the teams. (FCS teams are in italics.)

Continue reading

This Weekend in College Football: Week 0

Welcome to the traditional opener before the opener. The usual out-of-conference scheduling review is nearly ready and will go up early next week. In the meantime, enjoy this this curated selection of pre-Week 1 games.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon: Iowa State vs. Kansas State (“Farmageddon” @ Dublin, Ireland; ESPN): We’re starting off with a probable banger. Naturally, we enjoyed last year’s Ireland game, but as far as exporting a rivalry goes I’m not sure they could’ve done much better. That said, I like K-State a lot here.

6:30: Fresno State @ Kansas (FOX): The Sunflower State is well represented in Week 0, with KU hosting the usually frisky Bulldogs. It’ll be interesting to see if KU and QB Jalon Daniels have their mojo back after a disappointing, injury filled 2024. If they do, then this one sets up pretty good for KU.

7:00: Sam Houston State @ Western Kentucky (CBSS): The earlier games are likely to be a lot more fun than the later games. Unfortunately here WKU is still one of the better CUSA teams and SHSU is… not.

7:30: Stanford @ Hawaii (CBS): Stanford is likely to be the worst P4 team this season (it’s a close competition with Northwestern), so this figures to be their “bowl game” essentially. Also, Hawaii is also kinda turbo-bad, so it may also be the Cardinal’s best chance at a win.