This Weekend in College Football: Week 14

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • Miami @ Pittsburgh (ABC): Okay, so Miami is going to win this game… unless the Pitt Superweapon has heretofore unknown multi-week properties. This is mostly because when Pat Narduzzi said he didn’t care if Pitt lost 100-0 to Notre Dame as long as they won the next two games, he apparently really meant it. We’ll see what happens, provided we’re not all too busy paying attention to the next game on this list.
  • Ohio State @ Michigan (“The Game”; FOX): You have probably heard, but just in case you haven’t: Michigan has won four in a row in this rivalry. The most galling example was last year’s, where an unranked Michigan won 13-10. Sure, Ohio State certainly had bigger goals in mind (they did, after all, win a national title), but it still sure seemed like that Ryan Day and company seemed to think the best way to beat Michigan was… to play down them. So, in a similiar sentiment to last year’s post, Ohio State is going to win, but it’ll be very funny if they once again come up short.
  • Texas Tech @ West Virginia (ESPN): I don’t see anyway that WVU can slow down Texas Tech.
  • Colorado @ Kansas State (FS1): Here’s the scores in each of Colorado’s last four games, all losses: 53-7, 52-17, 29-22, 42-17.
  • Houston @ Baylor (TNT): It’s probably not great for either of these teams that I still have no idea what to make of either… at the end of the regular season. Baylor seems worryingly close to the “q-word”, which makes me lean Houston, but still.
  • Iowa State @ Oklahoma State (ESPNU): Cyclones all the way here.
  • Ball State @ Miami (CBSS): I’ll take Miami here.
  • Clemson @ South Carolina (“Palmetto Bowl”; SECN): Either this will be the end-cap to an extremely disappointing season for the Gamecocks, or it’ll make the whole thing worth it. I suspect the former.
  • Kentucky @ Louisville (“Governor’s Cup”; ACCN): I still think Louisville is at least a half-decent team, which usually means the beef it in this rivalry.
  • Toledo @ Central Michigan (ESPN+)
  • East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic (ESPN+)
  • Central Connecticut @ Rhode Island (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)
  • Harvard @ Villanova (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)
  • Yale @ Youngstown State (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)

1:00:

  • Central Florida @ Brigham Young (ESPN2): BYU will hit UCF early and often, cementing an extremely disappointing homecoming for Scott Frost that will leave the Knights with more questions than answers.
  • Texas-El Paso @ Delaware (ESPN+)
  • Florida International @ Sam Houston State (ESPN+)
  • Lamar @ Abilene Christian (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)
  • Drake @ South Dakota (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)
  • New Hampshire @ South Dakota State (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)
  • Illinois State @ Southeastern Louisiana (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)
  • North Dakota @ Tennessee Tech (NCAA Division I First Round; ESPN+)

1:30: Georgia Southern @ Marshall (ESPN+)

2:00:

  • Georgia State @ Old Dominion (ESPN+)
  • Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State (ESPN+)
  • Louisiana Tech @ Missouri State (ESPN+)
  • Southern vs. Grambling State (Bayou Classic @ New Orleans, LA; NBC)

2:30: Arkansas State @ Appalachian State (ESPN+)

3:00:

  • Boston College @ Syracuse (The CW): This is nominally a rivalry. At any rate, BC has probably their best actual chance at a win against a depleted Syracuse that has lost 7 in a row. I’ll go ahead and make it 8.
  • Middle Tennessee State @ New Mexico State (ESPN+)
  • South Alabama @ Texas State (ESPN+)
  • Louisiana-Monroe @ Louisiana (“Battle on the Bayou”; ESPN+)
  • Alabama-Birmingham @ Tulsa (ESPN+)

3:30:

  • Louisiana State @ Oklahoma (ABC): The Sooners figure to put an exclamation point on an excellent season of the ugliest football imaginable. My final score guess is something like 13-6 that’s never in doubt.
  • Oregon @ Washington (CBS): While I still miss their actual in-state rivalries, it’s hard to argue with this one taking the spot. While the Ducks are probably in the playoff regardless of the result, I’d advise them to take care of business against a UDub team that is certainly going to be game at home.
  • Cincinnati @ Texas Christian (FOX): Cincinnati is good, outside of the part where they’ve seemingly lost three in a row, and possibly their mojo. That adds a bit more intrigue to this game that it probably deserves, and TCU is rolling in fresh off an upset of the previously ranked Houston Cougars. I consider this one a coin flip, so let’s go with the Frogs.
  • Vanderbilt @ Tennessee (ESPN): For possibly the first time I can remember in nearly three decades of watching college football, Vandy is the favorite here. It’s not like Vandy has been totally helpless in the past decade. Yes, they’ve lost the last six in a row, but before that they’d won 5 of 7. This isn’t a plucky upstart of a Vanderbilt team, either. That said, I just sort like the Vols at home? I’d love to be wrong, though.
  • Wisconsin @ Minnesota (FS1): Luke Fickell got a tad more than the “dreaded vote of confidence”… and then the Badgers played their best game of the season against Illinois. If Wisconsin can do that again, they can get the axe back. I like their chances.
  • Pennsylvania State @ Rutgers (BTN): Turns out, Penn State is still pretty good. They should roll over Rutgers and make a bowl that seemed pretty unlikely after their crashout.
  • Missouri @ Arkansas (“Battle Line Rivalry”; SECN): Mizzou, by lot.
  • Wake Forest @ Duke (ACCN): Wake, please just end our collective misery of caring about Duke football. That’s all I ask.
  • Kennesaw State @ Liberty (CBSS): Go Owls.
  • Army @ Texas-San Antonio (ESPN+)
  • Troy @ Southern Mississippi (ESPN+)

3:45: James Madison @ Coastal Carolina (ESPNU): I don’t see anything here that will stop JMU’s romp through the Sun Belt.

4:30: Florida State @ Florida (“Sunshine Showdown”; ESPN2): I know this game has been weird the past few years, but I’m not sure there’s been a more juiceless version, as possibly the only way it could’ve had less, er, juice, is if FSU had wound up firing Mike Norvell. As is, FSU probably should win but I won’t be surprised by an result.

6:30: Oregon State @ Washington State (The CW): Wazzu may be one of the most snakebit teams in the country. (I mean, in addition to all of the ways both of these teams got screwed by the latest round of realignment.) The Cougs are 5-6, with what is turning out to be a pretty good win over San Diego State. They also have four losses by 4 points or less, all on the road. In what is the second leg of the Pac-12 Championship, I like them here.

7:00:

  • Virginia Tech @ Virginia (“Commonwealth Cup”; ESPN): The Hokies four-game winning streak in this rivalry figures to end here.
  • Maryland vs. Michigan State (@Detroit, MI; FS1): This is a classic “stoppable force vs. moveable object” game: the Terps have lost seven straight, and the Spartans have lost eight straight. Suffice it to say, I have no clue how to project a winner in this one. I guess Sparty has a slight edge? Woof.
  • Rice @ South Florida (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Alabama @ Auburn (“Iron Bowl”; ABC): Okay, let’s point out all of the things in Auburn’s favor: it’s at night and in Jordan-Hare. Uh… I think that’s about it. And, look, that’s certainly notched some bizarre victories for the Tigers in this game. That said, I can’t really take that and say that the Tigers will be able to overcome all their disadvantages to claim a win for the first time since 2019.
  • Northwestern @ Illinois (FOX): I think Northwestern stands a fair chance in this game, especially since Illinois just let a previously moribund Wisconsin get an easy win. Still picking Illinois, but this could be a good one.
  • California-Los Angeles @ Southern California (NBC): UCLA has lost four straight, and none were particularly close. USC will  make it five straight.
  • Charlotte @ Tulane (ESPNU): Tulane is win-and-in into the American title game, and uh, yeah, they can definitely finish the job here.
  • North Carolina @ North Carolina State (ACCN): Speaking of finishing the job, I think NC State knows what to do here.

8:00: Southern Methodist @ California (ESPN2): SMU isn’t as good as last year, but… they’re 8-3 and 6-1 in the ACC. Cal was so tired of being inconsistent (and losing to inferior Stanford teams) that they finally fired their coach, which isn’t a good omen going into this one. I like the Ponies here.

9:00: Nevada-Las Vegas @ Nevada (“Battle for Nevada”; CBSS): Nevada has reeled off a two game winning streak after spending of the season looking like one of the worst teams in FBS. Not bad, but I’m not sure it’ll matter much here.

10:30:

  • Notre Dame @ Stanford (ESPN): Good on Stanford for getting the axe back, as that might be their best defense against what the Irish are probably going to do to them.
  • Fresno State @ San Jose State (FS1): Has anyone else noticed that San Jose State is kinda bad? Fresno has not been amazing this season, but they figure to win the battle of the valley schools pretty handily.

11:00: Wyoming @ Hawaii (Spectrum): Once again, this is the last full Saturday of the season. I hope you this aloha from Hawaii.

 

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