Well, I stayed up late scouring the web for any news or hints as to how things will shake out this morning. My best guesses are here.
I’ll the hit high points:
- I think Wisconsin will fall behind Penn State and Auburn in the rankings and miss a New Year’s Six game completely.
- Consequently, I think the Citrus will pass up the Badgers to take Michigan to match them against Alabama.
- With 4 SEC teams in the New Year’s Six/Playoffs, that makes the lower-tier SEC bowls pretty nervous. I found at least one reasonably convincing article that indicated Navy would head to the Liberty Bowl, for example.
- I took that example even further, generally promoting AAC teams into missing spots and then using C-USA teams to fill in the AAC spots.
After I wake up in the morning, I’ll be trying to go through each announcement and re-arranging the dominoes for any picks I miss. As I’ve said before, the main thorn in my side while trying to predict these games is the bowls ESPN owns. ESPN can, has, and will move teams around to create more favorable matchups for TV despite whatever affiliations the bowl may actually have. The potential for weirdness is ripe.
Of course, my projections are also hosed if Wisconsin winds up in the Rose or Cotton Bowls. So we’ll see!