This Weekend in College Football: Week 6

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • Pennsylvania State @ Northwestern (ABC): These two teams try to play similar styles, except only one of them as Saquon Barkley, so I like Penn State here.
  • Iowa State @ Oklahoma (FOX): Sooners.
  • Georgia @ Vanderbilt (ESPN): Everyone talking about UGA as the second best team in the SEC means it’s about time for them to, say, lose to Vanderbilt, right? Right? (Probably not, but there’s always hope.)
  • Wake Forest @ Clemson (ESPN2): Wake Forest gave a depleted Florida State everything they could handle last week and… still lost. Clemson may toy with them a bit, but this shouldn’t be close.
  • Texas Tech @ Kansas (FS1): Well Red Raiders, the Jayhawks should be a good salve for that tough loss to Oklahoma State last week, at least.
  • Temple @ East Carolina (ESPNU): Rebuilding Temple, as it turns out, is probably better than “rapidly hitting the low point” ECU.
  • Mississippi @ Auburn (SEC): If it’s not already a lost season for Ole Miss, then it will be after this.
  • Illinois @ Iowa (BTN): I wouldn’t recommend this one. Hawkeyes roll.
  • Eastern Michigan @ Toledo (CBSS): Going with Toledo here.

12:20: Duke @ Virginia (ACC): I still don’t believe in UVA, so I’m going with Duke here.

12:30: Pittsburgh @ Syracuse (ACC/RSN): Pitt just has nothing on offense this year, which, well, that’s definitely not Syracuse’s problem.

3:30:

  • Notre Dame @ North Carolina (ABC): Speaking of teams GT has played that look terrible this year, boy howdy is Carolina rebuilding or what? Domers should roll.
  • Louisiana State @ Florida (CBS): If you like 12-7 football, then you’ll like this SEC Game of the Week on CBS­™! Seriously, you may want to avoid this particular vortex of offensive dysfunction, unless you like watching things in a train wreck sense. Gators, I guess.
  • Miami @ Florida State (ESPN): It will take something truly bizarre for Miami to lose to Florida State this year, so I’m going to have to go with the Canes this time.
  • Minnesota @ Purdue (ESPN2): While many in the college football sphere have marveled at Purdue’s turnaround this year, Minnesota has sort of quietly chugged along, logging a close loss to Maryland in their first Big Ten contest. I’m leaning Purdue due to their offensive potential, but I think if the game is tight it could break toward the Gophers.
  • West Virginia @ Texas Christian (FS1): WVU faces a sharp increase of difficultly here after beating Kansas last week. TCU pulled out a fantastic game at Oklahoma State last weekend, continuing to ride their philosophy of a defensive coach that knows he has to put up 40+ to win in the Big 12.
  • Air Force @ Navy (CBSS): Air Force is 1-3 and 0-2 in the Mountain West already. I like Navy here.

4:00:

  • Maryland @ Ohio State (FOX): Buckeyes, obviously, but Maryland might give them a bit of a contest for a little while.
  • Tulsa @ Tulane (ESPNU): Uh, Tulane? Sure, let’s go with that.
  • Arkansas @ South Carolina (SEC): Boy howdy, this 4:00 slate isn’t very exciting so far… uh, SoCar?
  • Oregon State @ Southern California (Pac12): USC.

6:30: Army @ Rice (beIN): Army, you’ve got to win this game. I’m telling you.

7:00:

  • Kansas State @ Texas (FS1): Jokes about Bill Synder being a wizard aside, this doesn’t look like exactly the best version of Bill Synder K-State this year. Which will probably make it that much more hilarious when they somehow beat the Longhorns again, but I’m not going to predict it.
  • Southern Methodist @ Houston (CBSS): Don’t look, but SMU might be good this year. I mean, Houston is probably still better, but still.

7:15:

  • Alabama @ Texas A&M (ESPN): I suspect this game may cause angst both ways, in the sense that Bama may not win by as much as they have at other times this season and the sense that TAMU is likely still going to lose very badly.
  • Virginia Tech @ Boston College (ESPN2): Well, VPI, I can pretty safely say that you be much better equipped to handle BC’s offense than Clemson’s.

7:30:

  • Michigan State @ Michigan (ABC): Sparty’s already got 3 wins this year, and I doubt they’re going to lose 8 in a row, so they’ve definitely improved this season. And while this Michigan team has weaknesses, it’s not clear that Mich State has the ability to exploit them.
  • Missouri @ Kentucky (SEC): Missouri is a trash fire this year, going with Kentucky.

8:00:

  • Washington State @ Oregon (FOX): Hello secret best game of the day! It’s Wazzu’s first road trip of the year, and Autzen should be ready to go on a crisp fall evening. I think Wazzu will win, but it’s hard to count out what look some rejuvenated Ducks at home.
  • Central Florida @ Cincinnati (ESPNU): UCF is good, y’all.
  • Wisconsin @ Nebraska (BTN): “Oh hey, I thought Nebraska was struggling, but they’re 2-0 in the Big Ten already? Huh.” [clicks on team page] “Ah, Rutgers and Illinois. That makes sense.” Yeah, I like the Badgers here.
  • Arizona @ Colorado (Pac12): The Arizona teams aren’t as bad as we all thought they’d be coming into the year, but they’re still not good. Meanwhile, Colorado is struggling, but I’d say this is the first Pac-12 game they’d be expected to win. Going with them here.

10:15: Stanford @ Utah (FS1): See what I said about Penn State-Northwestern, except replace “Saquon Barkley” with “Bryce Love”.

10:30: Hawaii @ Nevada (CBSS): You could watch this, or you could watch one of the games above or below. Hawaii, why not?

10:45:

  • California @ Washington (ESPN): Look, Washington should win, but hey if Cal is in this thing at all it should be interesting. Just hard to compete at Husky Stadium, though.
  • San Diego State @ Nevada-Las Vegas (ESPN2): UNLV is so bad. So bad.

2018 World Cup Update: On the Next Matchday… (Oct. 5-6)

AFC

In Asia, we’re now in the fourth round, a home-and-home set between Syria and Australia. (Or, more correctly, a home-and-Syria’s-home-away-from-home, Malaysia.) The first leg will take place in Malaysia on the 5th, while the return leg will be in Sydney on the 10th. The winner will be determined by who scores more goals on aggregate. If the teams draw after the end of 90 minutes in the second game, the winner will be determined by who scored more goals on their away legs. If that is also a draw, then 30 minutes of extra time will be played with the away goals rule still applicable, followed by a penalty shootout if the match is still tied.

Suffice it to say, we can only really talk scenarios for the second match. The winner of the fixture will advance to an inter-confederation playoff against a team from CONCACAF.

CAF

In Group A, Guinea and Libya have already been eliminated and Tunisia is ahead of the Democratic Republic of the Congo by 3 points.

  • On October 7th, Tunisia will advance to the 2018 World Cup with a win or draw over Guinea and a DR Congo draw or loss to Libya. 

In Group B, Cameroon and Algeria have already been eliminated, and Nigeria is ahead of Zambia by 3 points.

  • On October 7th, Nigeria will advance to the 2018 World Cup with a win over Zambia.

In Group C, no teams have been eliminated as of yet. The Ivory Coast leads with 7 points, followed by Morocco with 6 points, Gabon with 5 points ,and Mali with 2 points. No team can clinch in the coming international window, so we’ll have to wait until November to see who comes out of the group. However, if Mali loses to the Ivory Coast, they will be eliminated. Also, if the Ivory Coast defeats Mali, Gabon will be eliminated if they lose to or draw with Morocco, and Morocco will be eliminated with a loss.

Group D is in a bit of chaos right now, as FIFA ordered the November 2016 match between South Africa and Senegal to be replayed due to a match fixing referee (who subsequently banned for life). The original result had South Africa winning 2-1. Group leaders Burkina Faso have filed a case with the Court for Arbitration in Sport to have the replay not happen and the original result restored. It’s hard to blame them, as the original result was a pretty big upset as Senegal is the power in the group, and the replayed match could make a difference. As a result, it’s hard to really say with any certainty what will happen on the next matchday in this group.

In Group E, Congo have been eliminated. The rest of the group consists of Egypt at 9 points, Uganda at 7 points, and Ghana at 5 points.

  • On October 7th, Ghana will be eliminated if they lose to Uganda.
  • On October 8th, Ghana will be eliminated if Egypt defeats Congo.
  • On October 8th, Egypt will advance to the 2018 World Cup with a win over Congo and any Uganda draw with or loss to Ghana.

CONCACAF

The Fifth Round, also known as the Hexagonal, features six teams playing a double round-robin. Mexico lead the table with 18 points and a guaranteed finish in the top three spots, and thus are in the World Cup. Behind them are Costa Rica, on 15 points and a guarantee to finish in the top four, which means either the World Cup or the inter-confederation playoff against a team from the AFC. In third place are Panama on 10 points, followed by the United States with 9. Honduras also has 9 points but also a -7 goal differential. Trinidad and Tobago are in last place with just 3 points, but they are not technically eliminated yet.

The next matchday for all teams is October 6th. On that day:

  • Costa Rica will qualify for the 2018 World Cup with any win or draw against Honduras.
  • Panama will qualify for the 2018 World Cup with a win over the United States.
  • Trinidad and Tobago will be eliminated with any draw or loss to Mexico, or if both the United States and Honduras win or draw with Panama and Costa Rica, respectively. 

CONMEBOL

There’s still a lot at play in South America because, as previously noted, the second through eighth placed teams are within seven points of each other, and three of those teams won’t qualify. It’s probably just easiest to look at the actual table instead of trying to describe it. The next matchday is October 5th, and on that day:

  • Uruguay will qualify for the 2018 World Cup if they defeat Venezuela and Argentina and Peru draw against each other.
  • Ecuador will be eliminated if they lose to Chile.
  • Paraguay will be eliminated if they lose to Colombia and Argentina and Peru draw against each other.

For everything else, tune back in after Saturday.

UEFA

There’s 54 teams in 6 groups, so let’s just cut to the chase.

Group A
France and Sweden lead the pack with 17 and 16 points, respectively, followed by the Netherlands and Bulgaria with 13 and 12 points. Luxembourg and Belarus have been eliminated. On the next matchday, October 7th:

  • France will qualify directly for the 2018 World Cup with a win over Bulgaria and a Sweden loss to Luxembourg.
  • Bulgaria will be eliminated if they lose to France.
  • Bulgaria will be eliminated if they draw with France and Sweden defeats or draws with Luxembourg.
  • The Netherlands will be eliminated if they lose to Belarus and Sweden defeats or draws with Luxembourg.

Group B
In Group B, everyone except Switzerland and Portugal have been eliminated. Switzerland currently leads 24 points to 21. On the next matchday, October 7th:

  • Switzerland will qualify directly for the 2018 World Cup with a win over Hungary and a Portugal draw or loss to Andorra.

Suffice it to say, this one’s probably going to come down to the match in Lisbon on the 10th. Again, check back after Saturday.

Group C
In Group C, it’s pretty much Germany looking to wrap things up. On the next matchday, October 5th:

  • Germany will qualify directly for the World Cup with any win or draw over Northern Ireland.

Note that Northern Ireland will not neccessarily be eliminated, as they can qualify for the UEFA Second Round featuring the top 8 second placed teams from all the groups. Again, tune after Saturday.

Group D
Group D features Serbia in first place with 18 points and a guarantee they can’t finish worst than second. Wales is currently in second place with 14 points, followed by Ireland with 13 points and Austria with 9 points. Georgia and Moldova have been eliminated. On the next matchday, October 6th:

  • Serbia will qualify directly for the World Cup if they defeat Austria.
  • Serbia will qualify directly for the World Cup if they draw Austria along with a Wales draw or loss to Georgia and an Ireland draw or loss to Moldova.
  • Austria will be eliminated if they lose to or draw with Serbia, or if Wales defeats Georgia and Ireland defeats Moldova.
  • Ireland will be eliminated if they lose to Moldova and if Wales defeats Georgia.

Group E
Group E features three teams still in play: Poland with 19 points, followed by Montenegro and Denmark with 16 points. On the next matchday, October 5th:

  • Poland will qualify directly to the 2018 World Cup if they defeat Armenia and Denmark and Montenegro draw.

Group F
Group F features England on 20 points, Slovakia on 15, and then Slovenia and Scotland on 14. Lithuania and Malta have already been eliminated. On the next matchday, October 5th:

  • England will qualify directly for the World Cup with a win over Slovenia.
  • England will qualify directly for the World Cup if they draw Slovenia and Slovakia loses to or draws with Scotland.
  • Scotland will be eliminated if they lose to Slovakia.
  • Slovenia will be eliminated if they lose to England and Slovakia defeats Scotland.

Group G
Group G features Spain with 22 points, Italy with 19 points, and Albania on 13 points. Israel, Macedonia, and Liechtenstein have been eliminated. On the next matchday, October 6th:

  • Spain will qualify directly for the World Cup if they defeat Albania and Italy loses to or draws with Macedonia.
  • Albania will be eliminated if they lose to Spain, or if they draw with Spain and Italy defeats Macedonia.

Group H
In Group H, Belgium has already secured first place in the group. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Greece, and Cyprus are vying for second place, with 14, 13, and 10 points respectively. Estonia and Gibraltar have been eliminated. On the next matchday, October 7th:

  • Cyprus will be eliminated if they lose to Greece, or if they draw with Greece and Bosnia and Herzegovina defeat or draw Belgium.
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina will secure second place if they defeat Belgium and Cyprus defeats Greece.

Group I
Group I is wide open. Croatia and Iceland are tied on 16 points, followed by Turkey and Ukraine with 14 points. Finland and Kosovo have been eliminated. On the next matchday, October 6th:

  • Turkey will be eliminated if they lose to Iceland and Croatia defeats Finland. Ukraine would also be defeated in this case if they fail to defeat Kosovo.

And that’s about it. I hope to put up another post on Sunday with the final scenarios. Stay tuned!

This Weekend in College Football: Week 5

Alternate title: Wherein I Lament that Southern Cal at Washington State is Tonight Instead of Tomorrow Night.

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • Northwestern @ Wisconsin (ABC): Week 5 is pretty brutal, but I’ll try to shepherd you through the best I can. We’ll start in Madison, for what might be an interesting nooner, but probably not. Going with the Badgers.
  • Vanderbilt @ Florida (ESPN): Gators are a favorite I guess but AVOID AT ALL COSTS.
  • North Carolina @ Georgia Tech (ESPN2): I thought we might look rusty last week, so naturally we kickoff and immediately allow Pitt to march down the field. “Here we go again”, thought everyone in gold and white, but after that it was sort of… all Tech? Of course, it was helpful the Pitt offense immediately regressed after that drive. This week’s game is against a moribund but still dangerous Carolina team that we haven’t beaten since 2013.
  • Maryland @ Minnesota (FS1): Minnesota’s handled themselves well so far in 2017. Maryland now sports a win over Texas and a loss to UCF. Going with the Gophers at home.
  • Houston @ Temple (ESPNU): While this isn’t the same Houston of the past few years, this is really not the good Temple we’ve had the past few years. Going with Houston.
  • New Mexico State @ Arkansas (SEC): If you, like me, listen to Podcast Ain’t Played Nobody, then you know all about these New Mexico State Aggies. Normally one of college football’s most hapless teams, they’re 2-2 with a win over their biggest rival (New Mexico) and a pretty good shot at a bowl, all in a season that will see them get kicked out of the Sun Belt after it ends. But… it’ll still take a minor miracle for them to upset Arkansas.
  • South Florida @ East Carolina (CBSS): ECU is, uh, bad this year. Bulls.
  • Rice @ Pittsburgh (ACC/RSN): Pitt has no offense, but they should be able to handle Rice.

12:20: Syracuse @ North Carolina State (ACC): NC State better be awake after knocking off FSU last week, because while they should be Syracuse they’re still armed and dangerous (on offense).

3:30:

  • Georgia @ Tennessee (CBS): Georgia should win this game, and they probably will, but if there’s any game this week with the highest potential of ending in hilarious fashion (by which I mean Georgia losing in hilarious fashion) this is it.
  • Florida State @ Wake Forest (ABC/ESPN2): Given what’s going on the real world, I still haven’t seen any statements from Winston-Salem that would allow me to call Wake Forest “Woke Forest” unironically, much to my disappointment. Anyway, Wake is 4-0 but it’s a full-calorie soda 4-0, full of sweet but unfulfilling wins. I still like FSU here.
  • Baylor @ Kansas State (ABC/ESPN2): K-State.
  • Navy @ Tulsa (ESPNU): This may be the actual best game in this time slot, and it’s on the much easier to find ESPNU and not CBS Sports Network. But still, that’s saying a lot because Tulsa is 1-3 this year and isn’t really bombing like they used to, at least not bombing it well. I like the Midshipmen here.
  • Indiana @ Pennsylvania State (BTN): Penn State will need to keep their guard up in this one, but they shouldn’t have any issues.
  • Texas-El Paso @ Army (CBSS): Army, I guess?

4:00:

  • Iowa @ Michigan State (FOX): Sparty is still better than they were last year, even after getting pasted by Notre Dame last weekend. Suffice it to say, though, I like the Hawkeyes here.
  • Connecticut @ Southern Methodist (ESPNEWS): SMU?
  • Eastern Michigan @ Kentucky (SEC): Maybe Kentucky will remember to cover EMU’s receivers in this one.
  • Arizona State @ Stanford (Pac12): You can fool me Arizona State! I saw you beat Oregon last week, but I still don’t believe you. Going with the Cardinal here.

5:00: Miami @ Notre Dame (NBCSN): No, this isn’t Catholics vs. Convicts, and not even in the sense that hasn’t been true since like the 80’s. It’s the Miami that’s like an hour outside of Cincinnati. Notre Dame should roll.

6:00: Mississippi State @ Auburn (ESPN): Miss State! You were all poised to be one of the other good teams in the SEC and then… you lose 31-3 to Georgia. 🙁 I have to like Auburn here, I guess.

7:00:

  • Memphis @ Central Florida (ESPN2): Okay, now we’re getting to the staggered games zone. This is the one you should watch until halftime, and then switch to the beginning of Clemson-VPI. You win! Now as for who will win this game… I like UCF?
  • Troy @ Louisiana State (ESPNU): LSU is still trying to figure some things on offense, and this should give them a chance to.
  • Air Force @ New Mexico (CBSS): I like Air Force here.
  • Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic (Stadium): It’s not going good for Lane Kiffin in Year 1 of being a head coach again, which naturally means he’ll probably get the Texas A&M job this offseason. I like MTSU here.

 7:30:

  • South Carolina @ Texas A&M (SEC): TAMU has been on a bit of a roll of late, and I think that will continue until they play Alabama in their next game, two weeks from now. Rest up, Aggies!
  • Ohio State @ Rutgers (BTN): Buckeyes.

8:00:

  • Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech (FOX): The ‘Pokes looked legit, and then TCU went and stole all their thunder. Can they get the magic back against an improving Texas Tech team? It’s Lubbock at night, so anything’s possible, but I still like Oklahoma State here.
  • Clemson @ Virginia Tech (ABC): Man this game better be good because Week 5 doesn’t have a whole lot else going for it. Lane Stadium at night is fantastic of course, and VPI’s looked pretty good this year. Clemson, meanwhile, is just as dominant, if not more, on defense this year and their offense that was supposed to be rebuilding this year seems to have more or less reloaded. The Tigers have already proven themselves, and I think they’ll still be one of the best teams in the country even if the lose as long as they don’t get blown out. That said, I don’t think it will be a concern.
  • Washington @ Oregon State (Pac12): UDub.

9:00: Mississippi @ Alabama (ESPN): Bama. (Ole Miss is bad, y’all.)

10:30:

  • Colorado @ California-Los Angeles (ESPN2): What do we even do with this UCLA team? They don’t seem to be good or anything, but Josh Rosen is a good QB. Colorado is also kinda meh right now, too, so maybe skip to the next game. I’ll take the Buffs, I guess.
  • California @ Oregon (FS1): Now here’s the game that you’ll tune into after Clemson-VPI. It’ll still somehow be in the first half after the other game ends. It’ll be 32-29 at the half. Which way, I don’t know. Probably the Ducks. But this should be fun.
  • San Jose State @ Nevada-Las Vegas (ESPNU): I’m as much of a College Football Hipster as anyone, but… you have my permission to skip this one. UNLV, I guess?
  • Northern Illinois @ San Diego State (CBSS): Besides, if you’re going to watch a G5 matchup in this time slot, then this is the one to watch anyway. If you squint hard, you’ll see Nebraska @ Stanford here, but probably more interesting than that game would actually be! I like the Aztecs here, though.

This Weekend in College Football: Week 4

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • North Carolina State @ Florida State (ABC/ESPN2): NC State was a bit of hipster pick this year, but we’re not quite sure how that’s turned out yet. In the meantime, thanks to various weather calamities we don’t really know what a Deandra Francois-less Florida State looks like quite yet. So plenty of uncertainty here, but I’m still talking about going with the ‘Noles.
  • Texas Tech @ Houston (ABC/ESPN2): From all appearances, these teams appear to be rather similar. Beat a bad pair of Arizona teams and then blowout a cupcake. That said, Texas Tech’s offense appears set on saving their coach’s job, so I’ll take them, at least for now.
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas (@Arlington, TX; ESPN): It’s the 2017 edition of the Hot Seat Bowl! This one feels especially precarious, in the sense that both might get canned regardless of the result either way. I have no idea what to expect out of this game. Arkansas has looked listless at best on offense, while more than one observer has notice that TAMU doesn’t seem o care. I’d avoid this one. I consider it essentially a coinflip, so I’m going with TAMU I guess.
  • West Virginia @ Kansas (ESPNU): Kansas is still completely awful, so the pick here is pretty straightforward.
  • Massachusetts @ Tennessee (SEC): Vols.
  • Nevada-Las Vegas @ Ohio State (BTN): Buckeyes.
  • Army @ Tulane (CBSS): … I’m picking Army here.
  • Kent State @ Louisville (ACC/RSN): Provided he’s recovered from facing Clemson’s defensive line, Lamar Jackson should look like Lamar Jackson again.

12:20: Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech (ACC): And we’re back after last week’s non-game against UCF. It’s hard enough to know what kind of team you have here in Week 3, but it’s even harder when you’ve played two games of wildly varying difficulty. The Jacksonville State game played out roughly as I expected, with GT struggling a bit in the early going and then pouring it on the second half. So I’m not sure we learned much. However, I expect to have the offense operating at full strength in this one after having an extra week off. Hopefully that turns out to be the case instead of, you know, the other scenario where they come out rusty.

3:00: Central Florida @ Maryland (FS1): Lack of information rules the day! Maryland has a scheduled off week last week, so they’ve only played two games. UCF has only played one, a romp over Florida International to start the season, so see above. In their first two games at least, this doesn’t look like the hapless Maryland of the last few years, so let’s go with the Terps.

3:30:

  • Southern California @ California (ABC): Texas managed to give the Trojans everything they could’ve wanted last week, but USC managed to pull it out. Ultimately, I view that as a battle of two teams with an awful lot of talent. “Awful lot of talent” is not a term usually used to describe Cal, though the Bears have looked pretty good early as well. I’ve got USC here, but my advice to the Trojans would be: watch out.
  • Alabama @ Vanderbilt (CBS): Okay so I want Vandy to pull off the upset here as much as anyone, but if we’re talking about a battle of two teams that play a lot of defense and score when they can… well, it’s hard to out-Alabama Alabama. (Ask Michigan State a few years ago about that.)
  • Texas Christian @ Oklahoma State (ESPN): This is quietly (or maybe not-so-quietly?) the game of the weekend. This should be entertaining. TCU features a defense-first coach who was mad at his team last week for not putting up 80. Oklahoma State’s coach is celebrating the tenth anniversary of declaring his manhood and is in year two of a mullet. So yeah, expect this game to be Big 12 AS HELL. I like the Pokes here though.
  • Boston College @ Clemson (ESPN2): Boston College has no real offense to speak of, and Clemson has probably a top-two defense this year. Is it possible for team to score negative points? We may be about to find out.
  • Louisiana Tech @ South Carolina (SEC): Well, ours fears that South Carolina might have an offense were short-lived. Turns out that scoring 31 on Mizzou isn’t a big deal this year. But do the Bulldogs have a chance here? Ehh….
  • Rutgers @ Nebraska (BTN): Rutgers may not be as desperately bad as they were last year, but even this flailing Nebraska team should still beat them. 
  • Cincinnati @ Navy (CBSS): Navy struggled a bit of with Tulane last week, but I’m not going to hold that against them. I like the Midshipmen here.
  • Toledo @ Miami (ACC/RSN): ‘Canes.

4:00: Michigan @ Purdue (FOX): Michigan’s done what they needed to this year, but will they be able to stop this newfound burst of offensive confidence down in West Lafayette? You may want to keep an eye on this one, but I’m still going Michigan.

6:00: Nevada @ Washington State (Pac12): Still waiting for the other shoe to drop for Wazzou, because it doesn’t seem conceivable we’ll be talking about a 4-0 Washington State hosting USC in Pullman next week, right? Right? (It does seem pretty probable, though.)

6:30: Alabama-Birmingham @ North Texas (beIN): Could we be looking at 3-1 UAB after this? That’d be really nice, but, well… actually, it’s not North Texas is a bunch of world-beaters or anything, so why not?

7:00:

  • Mississippi State @ Georgia (ESPN): We’re about to find out a lot more about this pair of Bulldogs. Miss State’s shellacking of LSU last week confirmed what we should’ve already realized: Miss State under Dan Mullen has been the most consistent second-tier team in the SEC for a while now. They can cement that status between the hedges, and I think they will.
  • Syracuse @ Louisiana State (ESPN2): Okay LSU, you can recover from this! Just, you know, fend off an aerial barrage for the next four hours while you still look like you struggle to field a competent offense… oof. This one is tough to think about. I think I have Syracuse here.
  • San Diego State @ Air Force (CBSS): SDSU is living up to its spoiler billing so far, but to keep it up they’ll need to win this, their toughest remaining road contest. I think they will.
  • Ball State @ Western Kentucky (Stadium): The Hilltoppers should still have enough remaining traces of Jeff Brohm to throw it around and over a still kinda-not-good Ball State team, right?

7:30:

  • Pennsylvania State @ Iowa (ABC): As is usual with Iowa, it feels like of they’re going to win this game the final score will be something like 15-12, while if they lose it’ll be 60-10. Penn State just seems too good so far this year, like the latter score is more likely than the former.
  • Auburn @ Missouri (ESPNU): Bill Connelly knows a lot more about college football than I do, and so when he writes a column saying that Mizzou is pretty much done for the year, well…
  • Florida @ Kentucky (SEC): On November 15th, 1986 Kentucky beat Florida 10-3. On that day, Boston’s “Amanda” was the #1 single in the United States, the Iran-Contra Affair was in full swing, and I was a little over a year old. Also, it was the last time Kentucky beat Florida. This version of Kentucky looks kind of competent and Florida is scuffling, so this could be the year. But I’m not going to call it.

8:00: Notre Dame @ Michigan State (FOX): While we still try to figure out what will be this year’s version of 2016’s Michigan State @ Notre Dame, we’ll have to deal with the reality of the 2017 version of this game, wherein there are basically no expectations for either of these teams. I’m leaning Notre Dame a bit, since they beat up on a decent Boston College defense last week.

10:00:

  • Washington @ Colorado (FS1): Here’s an early test for UDub, having survived their non-conference slate with ease. The problem, in terms of predictions, lies in that Colorado also easily disposed of their non-conference slate, so we’ve got to go to… THE NEXT LEVEL. And the next level likes the Huskies, like, a lot.
  • Oregon @ Arizona State (Pac12): The Pac-12 is a little more fun when Oregon is good, so welcome back, Ducks! I like them a lot of get their first conference win courtesy of a somewhat hapless Arizona State team.

10:15: Hawaii @ Wyoming (ESPN2): Josh Allen needs to get his mind right, you know what I mean? I mean, in the sense that maybe all the NFL stuff and preseason hype might have placed an unreasonable set of expectations upon the erstwhile Cowboys signal caller. Fortunately, the Rainbow Warriors provide a pretty good chance to do so.

10:30: California-Los Angeles @ Stanford (ESPN): No body clock this time. UCLA comes back to the West Coast after having their bubble burst in a major way at Memphis. And, uh, Stanford maybe was up past their bedtime last weekend when they lost at San Diego State. So… I’m going with the mild upset here and going with UCLA. Don’t make me regret this, Bruins.

This Weekend in College Football: Week 3

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • California-Los Angeles @ Memphis (ABC): BODY CLOCK! Okay, with that out of the way, we’re now two years removed from the Justin Fuente era at Memphis and ultimately I think the Bruins will be too much for the Tigers.
  • Oklahoma State @ Pittsburgh (ESPN): Pitt has looked like, well, they’re not the fun, tricksy team from the salad days of #PutPittIn. I like the Pokes here.
  • Connecticut @ Virginia (ESPN2): Sometimes I’m given to describe cheap beer as having “certain beer-like properties”. I like to think I’m less of a football snob than beer snob, but it’s hard to think of this game has having anything other than “certain football-like properties”. Uh, UVA here, I guess.
  • Northern Illinois @ Nebraska (FS1): Nebraska.
  • Kansas @ Ohio (ESPNU): KU already lost to another MAC team, can they make it two? Sure, why not.
  • Louisiana-Lafayette @ Texas A&M (SEC): I think TAMU will be okay, at least this weekend.
  • Air Force @ Michigan (BTN): Michigan is just going to be too much for the Falcons.
  • Iowa State @ Akron (CBSS): I’m still coming to terms with the fact the Iowa State-Iowa game was actually exciting. Hopefully the Cyclones aren’t, because they’ll need to be focused to prevail here.

12:30: Baylor @ Duke (ACC/RSN): Duke, I guess?

3:30:

  • Tennessee @ Florida (CBS): Is this going to be a good game? Eh, probably not. Will you watch it anyway? Yeah, probably. In fairness, there’s not much else going for this timeslot. I like the Vols, since they actually play offense.
  • Wisconsin @ Brigham Young (ABC): I’ll admit I was definitely thinking about whether or not Wisconsin fans could drink Provo dry. Dry is also a pretty good description of BYU’s offense so far this season, which gives Wisconsin a decided advantage in this road contest.
  • Notre Dame @ Boston College (ESPN): Speaking of offensively challenged, Notre Dame should be able to pick off a team worse at moving the ball than they are.
  • North Texas @ Iowa (ESPN2): Iowa.
  • Southern Methodist @ Texas Christian (ESPNU): This old Southwest Conference matchup may be interesting for a bit, but I’m not sure SMU will be able to keep up with TCU.
  • Middle Tennessee State @ Minnesota (BTN): MTSU lost badly to Vandy but beat Syracuse on the road, so maybe they’re good? Minnesota has sailed through their OOC schedule so far, but nonetheless the Gophers will need to not sleepwalk through this one.

4:00: Purdue @ Missouri (SEC): Okay, we’re existing in a universe where in the middle of the afternoon we’re hoping for a Purdue-Minnesota shootout. That’s just the deal now. The thing is, this game may very well deliver. Considering the 3:30 slate, just flip over to this one ASAP. Also, I kinda like the Boilermakers? Picking all these road teams makes me nervous, though.

4:30: Army @ Ohio State (FOX): Buckeyes.

5:30: Oregon State @ Washington State (Pac12): Wazzou. (Seriously, Oregon State is so bad y’all. Of course, it’s Wazzou we’re talking about, so they could blow this after otherwise looking great, but you can’t really predict that, you know?)

7:00:

  • Louisiana State @ Mississippi State (ESPN): Here’s a game where the rubber meets the road for these two teams. Will Miss State be any good this year? Will Dacoacho have made acceptable progress only three weeks into his first season? That said, LSU has the edge in talent, and so far the new coaching staff seems better able to take advantage of it. Picking another road team…
  • Colorado State @ Alabama (ESPN2): Well, yeah, Bama.
  • Oregon @ Wyoming (CBSS): Come for the gloriously ugly uniforms, stay for the potentially compelling football! That said the Ducks seem to, uh, have their ducks in a row again? Yeah.
  • Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky (Stadium): I think I get Stadium? I’ll need to check. And you may want to actually check this one out, if you can find it. I like LT here.

7:30:

  • Kansas State @ Vanderbilt (ESPNU): Speaking of games where we may learn something about the teams, boy howdy we don’t have much to go on for these two. I still like K-State slightly.
  • Kentucky @ South Carolina (SEC): I’m not sure I’m prepared for the universe where a Will Muschamp team actually has a good offense, but there’s enough else going on at this timeslot that I hopefully won’t have to think about it. Taking USC here.
  • Georgia State @ Pennsylvania State (BTN): Penn State.

8:00:

  • Clemson @ Louisville (ABC): I like Lamar Jackson as much as the next person, and I think he’ll get his shots. But if there’s any defense he’s going to face this year that can contain him, it’s Clemson’s. Clemson’s superiority on the defensive line will just be too much of an issue for Louisville’s line to deal with, and Lamar just won’t be able escape enough.
  • Arizona State @ Texas Tech (FSN/RSN): Arizona State looks so bad, y’all. TTU.

8:30: Texas @ Southern California (FOX): The hype should be enough to get USC up for this game, and this Texas team just isn’t fully formed yet. USC all the way.

9:30: Fresno State @ Washington (Pac12): U-Dub.

10:00: San Jose State @ Utah (ESPN2): Utah.

10:30:

  • Mississippi @ California (ESPN): Kind of tempted to get some tickets for this one for some prime people watching over in Berkeley. And it’s a night game, too! This one could be fun, but I like Cal here just because Ole Miss is so depleted at this point.
  • Stanford @ San Diego State (CBSS): The Aztecs were definitely a trendy mid-major pick, and with good cause! But while USC was just able to straight out-athlete the Cardinal, I don’t think SDSU will be able to do that.