I’ve been doing bowl predictions since 1999. While there’s a lot more bowl games now (oh, and a playoff!), I still do my best to predict who goes where.
There’s essentially two phases to this. This phase is trying to figure out who goes where. At this point in the season, I am projecting each team’s record using SP+. Since most teams have 3 to 4 regular season games left, there’s a lot of wiggle room. In particular, doing it this way means that early on I’m usually short a few teams. As upsets happen and SP+ gets more in-season data, things usually even out. Right now, I need 76 teams, and I’m five short. This means I had to include FCS to FBS transition teams Delaware and Missouri State, and a well as 3 5-7 teams based on their APR.
Starting in 1999, and up until now, I had used Microsoft Expression Web (neé FrontPage). However, the software is several years old and it doesn’t run well anymore. I had also wanted some various modern web niceties (like displaying correctly on phones). So suffice it to say, the predictions have a different look this year. I’ll be continuing to tweak it, or if I can’t get it to work the way I want, I’ll just revert to the old system. For now though, enjoy.