This Weekend in College Football: Week 5

As usual, all times Eastern and all predictions wrong.

Noon:

  • Minnesota @ Michigan (FOX): Naturally, I looked over the Little Brown Jug matchup because, well, I really don’t like the Gophers chances in this one.
  • Kentucky @ Mississippi (ABC): I think we’re still not going to know a lot about Ole Miss after this one.
  • Oklahoma State @ Kansas State (ESPN): It’s still kind of weird to think of the Big 12 as a stalwart defensive league, but that’s kind of where we are now. K-State found out about going to Provo the hard way last weekend, but I suspect they can figure it out back in the Little Apple.
  • Navy @ Alabama-Birmingham (ESPN2): I have no idea if Navy is any good this year, but then again UAB is sure doing a great job of making it seem like maybe since killing the program from the outside didn’t work the first time doing it from the inside (by appointment the wildly under-qualified Trent Dilfrer has had coach) is sure starting to seem plausible.
  • Brigham Young @ Baylor (FS1): Speaking of those BYU Cougars, I’m betting they’ll also figure out how to do it on the road.
  • Northern Illinois @ North Carolina State (The CW): So… can NIU pull it off twice? A win here probably puts them in the driver’s seat for the playoff, especially with conference-mate Toledo having taken a loss. I don’t think I can create call it, but the disarray in Raleigh may be enough at this point to make it happen.
  • Maryland @ Indiana (BTN): It is the official stance of ASimSports that we support #9Windiana.
  • Buffalo @ Connecticut (CBSS): The Bulls, probably?
  • Western Kentucky @ Boston College (ACCN): There’s some chatter that like WKU can do this, sure, but I actually rate this BC squad pretty highly.
  • Holy Cross @ Syracuse (ACCNX)
  • Nebraska @ Purdue (Peacock): Purdue is just awful, Nebraska by plenty.

1:30: Ball State @ James Madison (ESPN+)

3:00: Texas State vs. Sam Houston State (@Houston, TX; ESPN+)

3:30:

  • Oklahoma @ Auburn (ABC): Look, I still think OU has trouble scoring, but Auburn is just broken at this point.
  • Colorado @ Central Florida (FOX): Yeah, Colorado got super-away-with-it against Baylor last weekend. I don’t seem them repeating that trick.
  • Wisconsin @ Southern California (CBS): USC continues their tour of the Midwest by hopping across Lake Michigan to Madison, where I suspect they will have a much better time.
  • Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (@Arlington, TX; ESPN): This is the final year of this rivalry being a neutral site  game, which thank goodness. That said, weirdness also generally pervades this game. While I don’t think Arkansas is very good, and I’m not predicting them to win, I won’t be surprised by it either.
  • Fresno State @ Nevada-Las Vegas (FS1): Okay, people smarter and more plugged in than me are all over what’s going on with UNLV’s NIL situation. Which is also why I think it’s completely insane that they’re still favored here. I have the Bulldogs all the way.
  • Georgia Southern @ Georgia State (“Modern Day Hate”; ESPNU): Suffice it to say, I really like State to win the rights to “GSU” this year.
  • Louisiana @ Wake Forest (ACCN): The Cajuns are game enough to win this one, and I think they will.
  • San Diego State @ Central Michigan (CBSS): This is a weird one, but neither of these teams is especially, well, good. This certainly not one to keep an eye on. I’m going with CMU at home.
  • Louisville @ Notre Dame (Peacock): Ah, so this is the week Louisville stops getting away with it. Carry on then.
  • Western Michigan @ Marshall (ESPN+)
  • Liberty @ Appalachian State (ESPN+)
  • Texas Christian @ Kansas (@Kansas City, MO; ESPN+)
  • Eastern Michigan @ Kent State (ESPN+)
  • Akron @ Ohio (ESPN+)
  • Massachusetts @ Miami (ESPN+)

4:00:

  • North Carolina @ Duke (ESPN2): Basketball rivalry jokes aside, there’s just no way UNC wins this, right? That defense is the garbage fire any GT fan gleefully predicted when it was announced they hired Geoff Collins. Without the offensive talent from last year, and Duke’s ability to put up points against non-UNC defenses, it just doesn’t bode well for the Heels.
  • Texas-San Antonio @ East Carolina (ESPN+)

4:15: Mississippi State @ Texas (SEC): Texas. Next!

5:00: Old Dominion @ Bowling Green (ESPN+)

6:00:

  • Tennessee-Martin @ Kennesaw State (ESPN+)
  • Louisiana Tech @ Florida International (ESPN+)
  • Wagner @ Florida Atlantic (ESPN+)

7:00:

  • Stanford @ Clemson (ESPN): Clemson. Next!
  • Iowa State @ Houston (FS1): Cyclones. Next!
  • Ohio State @ Michigan State (Peacock): Buckeyes. Next!
  • Tulsa @ North Texas (ESPN+)
  • Charlotte @ Rice (ESPN+)
  • Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy (ESPN+)

7:30:

  • Georgia @ Alabama (ABC): Okay, can’t skip over this one. The last two regular season meetings between these teams were in 2020 and 2015. You probably recall that Georgia beat Bama in the 2021 title game. But did you know UGA’s last win before that was in Nick Saban’s first loss as Alabama coach in 2007? Seriously, Georgia is 2-8 in their last 10. (And yet, unlike Ryan Day, there’s seemingly no heat on Kirby. Huh.) So far the DeBoer era at Bama is off to a sizzling start, while UGA’s just mostly been present since their opening weekend demolition of Clemson. These two titans will roll into Tuscaloosa Saturday night, and I have a suspicion UGA will be 1-9 in their last 10 against Bama afterward.
  • Illinois @ Pennsylvania State (NBC): I think the line on this game is insane, at Penn State by 17.5. I don’t think Penn State is bad or anything, but Illinois has some Dudes. I still like Penn State straight up, but if this comes down to James Frankling managing a close game late, watch out y’all.
  • Middle Tennessee State @ Memphis (ESPNU): Tigers. Next!

7:45: South Alabama @ Louisiana State (SEC): Tigers. Next!

8:00:

  • Cincinnati @ Texas Tech (ESPN2): Red Raiders. Next!
  • Air Force @ Wyoming (CBSS): Not exactly a banner day on the CBS Sports Network. Air Force? Next!
  • Florida State @ Southern Methodist (ACCN): SMU could definitely do this, especially in the “FSU may not be especially interested” aspect. Still, when I finally actually predicted FSU would lose, they didn’t. So I’ll take the Noles here.
  • New Mexico @ New Mexico State (“Battle of I-25”; ESPN+)

10:00: Washington State @ Boise State (FS1): This game has the potential to be awesome. Boise gave Oregon all they wanted, and presumptive-People’s Heiesman favorite Johnny Matier helps Wazzu. Occasionally, this results in Apple Cup wins, other times it requires a furious comeback to beat San Jose State in double overtime. I like the Cougs, but anything could happen here.

10:15: Arizona @ Utah (ESPN): Zona is good and fun this season, but they just lost to a physical K-State team 31-7, and it’s hard to see this one going much differently.

11:00: Oregon @ California-Los Angeles (FOX): Yeah, the Ducks seem to have skipped through the “find out” phase and straight into doing what they’re supposed to. Given the mess that UCLA right now, I suspect that this won’t do much to alter that.